NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	109		Excitement	3.0 [1178]		MVP	Marvin Williams (CHA): +9.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	91		Comeback	1.2 [931]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (PHI): -11.7%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.00	-0.06	6	64%	0.10	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.00	-0.08	11	50%	0.07	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
PJ Hairston	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.02	-0.07	7	37%	0.06	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.02
Gary Neal	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.05	10	50%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.00	0.07	23	62%	0.06	3	-0.02	2	50%	0.01
Brian Roberts	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	62%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Cody Zeller	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	45%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	23	42%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	10	73%	0.12	3	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.00	0.08	10	86%	0.08	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Henry Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	78%	0.04	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	9	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
KJ McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	60%	0.03	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	7	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.00	17	39%	-0.05	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	34.3	14.8	27.1	2.5	27.6	132.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +12.1%

CHA +7.5%

CHA +12.1%

CHA +19.3%

PHI -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHI	NBA	CHA	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	12.8	15.1	109.0	90.1	104.2
season	15.6	14.9		98.9	94.3
opponent	14.8	15.1		103.4	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.0	18.3	15.4	16.3	15.9
PHI	13.2	12.5	12.8	12.5	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	59	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	5	8	16.1	15.7	0.34	12.3	13.5	-1.26
Al Jefferson	77	77	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.16	18	0	18	15.7	16.7	-1.02	12.8	12.5	0.29
Kemba Walker	79	80	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	8	2	15.9	15.8	0.19	12.4	14.1	-1.68
Gerald Henderson	69	68	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	7	4	15.8	16.2	-0.41	12.5	13.4	-0.94
Gary Neal	35	37	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	8	2	16.2	15.7	0.49	13.4	12.4	1.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	67	66	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	9	0	15.8	16.2	-0.41	12.3	13.5	-1.19
PJ Hairston	29	31	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	12	-6	16.1	15.8	0.32	13.5	12.4	1.13
Bismack Biyombo	16	18	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.11	10	8	2	16.7	15.7	1.00	12.6	12.8	-0.25
Brian Roberts	21	21	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.08	8	10	-2	15.8	15.9	-0.19	14.1	12.4	1.68
Cody Zeller	48	46	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	23	-28	15.8	16.0	-0.15	13.4	12.2	1.15

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	23	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.16	5	-23	28	13.6	12.5	1.04	16.4	15.8	0.63
Nerlens Noel	65	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	-7	-4	12.3	13.6	-1.28	16.2	15.4	0.78
Robert Covington	56	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-11	4	12.5	13.0	-0.51	15.9	15.9	0.09
Michael Carter-Williams	64	62	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	-9	0	12.5	13.2	-0.76	15.8	16.1	-0.31
Luc Mbah a Moute	69	69	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-13	8	13.2	11.8	1.34	15.6	16.6	-0.97
KJ McDaniels	58	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	-8	-2	12.4	13.2	-0.82	16.1	15.7	0.41
Tony Wroten	48	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-9	0	13.6	12.0	1.52	16.9	14.9	2.02
Hollis Thompson	50	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.20	-17	-1	-16	11.6	13.9	-2.26	15.6	16.3	-0.70
Henry Sims	30	28	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	-4	-10	13.7	12.4	1.29	14.6	16.4	-1.86
JaKarr Sampson	42	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-5	-8	13.3	12.4	0.98	15.7	16.1	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 114, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	96.8%
NYK 86, NOH 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
OKC 97, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%