NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	86		Excitement	2.8 [1235]		MVP	Nazr Mohammed (NYK): +5.5%
New Orleans Hornets	79		Comeback	1.1 [568]		LVP	P.J. Brown (NOH): -9.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	7	82%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Tim Thomas	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	65%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	5	50%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	16	61%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	15	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	3	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Sweetney	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.13	0.00	-0.08	10	33%	-0.03	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	16	47%	0.03	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	11	61%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	9	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Freije	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	16	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Junior Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Garcia	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	7	19%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	12	39%	-0.06	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	26.3	15.7	24.4	1.8	30.3	123.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +46.2%

NYK +6.3%

NOH -0.4%

NOH -4.5%

NYK +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NOH	NBA	NYK	NOH	NBA
this game	16.9	15.7	15.5	97.7	88.8	104.0
season	15.8	16.5		103.9	97.7
opponent	15.7	15.3		105.2	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.4	17.6	16.6	18.0	16.9
NOH	16.6	16.7	14.7	14.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	68	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.09	21	-14	35	17.1	16.1	1.02	16.5	12.7	3.82
Nazr Mohammed	60	62	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	-8	23	16.1	18.6	-2.52	15.9	15.2	0.63
Kurt Thomas	64	64	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.02	12	-5	17	17.0	16.6	0.36	14.9	17.5	-2.58
Tim Thomas	51	53	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	-3	13	16.5	17.4	-0.90	15.5	16.0	-0.52
Jamal Crawford	66	66	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.36	-2	9	-11	16.8	17.3	-0.52	14.7	18.4	-3.74
Moochie Norris	42	43	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.33	-5	12	-17	16.7	17.0	-0.33	15.8	15.6	0.20
Trevor Ariza	37	36	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.25	-3	10	-13	17.4	16.5	0.90	16.0	15.5	0.52
Michael Sweetney	22	23	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	8	-9	17.8	16.6	1.18	18.7	14.6	4.15
Jerome Williams	20	20	0.06	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	10	-13	17.7	16.6	1.12	16.6	15.4	1.21
Vin Baker	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	16	-25	17.4	16.8	0.58	9.6	16.3	-6.79

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Freije	32	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.11	-9	2	-11	16.6	15.1	1.45	16.3	17.2	-0.88
Dan Dickau	50	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.37	7	-14	21	15.1	16.3	-1.19	17.7	15.9	1.72
Alex Garcia	37	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	1	-9	16.2	15.3	0.95	16.6	17.1	-0.54
Junior Harrington	15	14	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	4	-15	18.5	15.1	3.45	15.9	17.1	-1.14
George Lynch	34	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-4	1	15.6	15.7	-0.03	17.0	16.8	0.13
Chris Andersen	47	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-11	15	15.9	15.5	0.40	17.6	16.1	1.56
P.J. Brown	80	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-5	3	15.1	20.3	-5.20	16.7	18.4	-1.74
David Wesley	76	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-5	3	15.2	18.5	-3.37	16.7	17.9	-1.19
Lee Nailon	74	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	4	-15	15.7	15.4	0.32	16.8	17.2	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 84, NJN 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
ORL 105, ATL 75	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
CHA 109, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%