NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	117		Excitement	17.4 [2]		MVP	Danny Green (SAS): +118.8%
San Antonio Spurs	116		Comeback	40.5 [26]		LVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): -75.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.65	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.65,0.65	0.08	0.57	-0.00	16	68%	0.82	4	-0.17	6	83%	0.04
Courtney Lee	0.37	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.37	0.03	0.34	-0.00	13	54%	0.41	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.13	0.12	0.00	10	80%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	19	50%	0.14	1	-0.09	4	75%	-0.07
Quincy Pondexter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.11	-0.12	0.02	13	64%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Calathes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.26,-0.26,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.27	-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	19	35%	-0.21	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.09,0.4,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,1.02,1.02,1.02,1.02,1.02,1.02,1.02,1.02,1.02,1.02,1.02,1.19	1.19	0.17	1.02	0.00	17	74%	1.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.00	0.24	0.01	15	50%	0.31	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.02	11	68%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	6	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	10	40%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.1,-0.19,-0.13,-0.36,-0.36,-0.34,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25	-0.25	-0.15	-0.09	0.01	22	39%	-0.10	4	-0.15	15	33%	-0.25
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.41,-0.41,-0.47,-0.47,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.49,-0.75	-0.75	-0.04	-0.70	0.01	20	45%	-0.47	3	-0.28	7	43%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2		OT3	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	29.9	16.3	24.6	2.7	34.7	1.5	13.2	1.8	15.1	1.6	10.7	179.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	2.0	17.8	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +12.9%

MEM +18.7%

SAS -0.2%

MEM +26.3%

SAS -7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAS	NBA	MEM	SAS	NBA
this game	17.2	16.1	15.1	104.5	100.9	104.2
season	15.9	15.4		103.8	106.9
opponent	14.9	15.2		101.1	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	16.2	17.8	16.0	19.2	17.0	17.2
SAS	16.5	12.4	18.2	16.8	16.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	85	90	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.73	4	-3	7	17.6	16.3	1.31	16.1	16.0	0.04
Mike Conley	82	85	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.50	10	-9	19	16.8	18.4	-1.62	16.6	14.6	2.03
Vince Carter	72	75	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.43	10	-9	19	17.0	17.8	-0.82	16.4	15.4	0.99
Marc Gasol	82	86	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.53	-3	4	-7	17.2	17.3	-0.02	16.3	15.3	1.02
Courtney Lee	93	95	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.47	-1	2	-3	17.5	16.2	1.25	16.2	15.6	0.51
Kosta Koufos	30	29	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	-3	7	17.3	17.2	0.02	15.3	16.3	-1.02
Nick Calathes	17	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.28	-10	11	-21	16.7	17.3	-0.64	14.8	16.3	-1.53
Jon Leuer	25	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	1	-1	17.6	17.2	0.40	16.0	16.1	-0.04
Beno Udrih	30	30	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.03	-9	10	-19	18.4	16.8	1.62	14.6	16.6	-2.03
Quincy Pondexter	44	43	-0.47	0.97	-1.43	-0.47	0	1	-1	16.7	17.6	-0.90	15.8	16.2	-0.45

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	76	75	0.57	-1.07	1.63	0.04	18	-19	37	16.4	15.4	1.08	17.7	16.3	1.38
Tiago Splitter	43	44	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.08	12	-13	25	15.9	16.2	-0.22	18.2	16.6	1.61
Austin Daye	3	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	0	-1	13.3	16.1	-2.81	12.0	17.3	-5.35
Boris Diaw	72	70	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.62	19	-20	39	15.6	16.9	-1.26	17.3	17.1	0.25
Kyle Anderson	25	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	3	-7	14.7	16.4	-1.72	17.2	17.3	-0.13
Matt Bonner	27	25	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.09	-14	13	-27	17.2	15.7	1.46	16.6	17.4	-0.79
Danny Green	83	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	2	-5	16.6	14.8	1.74	17.9	15.5	2.41
Manu Ginobili	79	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-3	5	15.2	18.1	-2.89	16.6	18.6	-2.01
Tim Duncan	88	85	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.33	-19	18	-37	16.2	15.7	0.48	16.8	18.5	-1.67
Cory Joseph	71	69	-1.20	0.70	-1.91	-0.76	-15	14	-29	16.3	15.7	0.63	16.8	18.0	-1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.33,0.55,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.54,0.38,0.46,0.22,0.73,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.25,0.58,0.54,0.69,0.48,0.22,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 88, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.21,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.34,0.55,0.55,0.78,1,1	86.7%
BOS 104, MIA 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.36,0.41,0.47,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.91,1	86.4%
TOR 108, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.95,0.95,1	86.3%