inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 92 Excitement5.3 [755] MVPKelly Olynyk (BOS): +15.0%
Boston Celtics 109 Comeback2.7 [576] LVPVictor Oladipo (ORL): -20.3%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tobias Harris0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.00-0.04965%0.0930.00887%0.01
Channing Frye0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.000.02965%0.0700.002100%0.01
Elfrid Payton0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.010.04-0.04560%0.062-0.0000%0.00
Maurice Harkless0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.02350%0.0300.0000%0.00
Kyle O'Quinn0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.00673%0.072-0.043100%0.01
Andrew Nicholson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Evan Fournier-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.001443%-0.011-0.03250%-0.00
Nikola Vucevic-0.060,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.00-0.020.031947%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Ben Gordon-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.00729%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Victor Oladipo-0.200,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.10-0.070.031229%-0.132-0.0700%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.110.04-0.00879%0.171-0.02333%-0.03
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.120.060.041069%0.1300.006100%0.02
Tyler Zeller0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.01583%0.091-0.032100%0.01
Jared Sullinger0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.020.041362%0.0600.0000%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.03-0.001452%0.112-0.07367%-0.01
Evan Turner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.00480%0.072-0.052100%0.01
Phil Pressey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.020.00850%0.041-0.03250%-0.02
Gerald Wallace00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Avery Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01633%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.011254%0.036-0.1100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.01.823.116.423.62.329.5120.7
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +52.5%
BOS +4.7%
BOS +5.1%
ORL -14.0%
BOS +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLBOSNBAORLBOSNBA
this game16.514.015.197.9114.7104.2
season14.914.3100.4103.1
opponent15.415.3103.3105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.716.616.717.016.5
BOS14.314.715.312.014.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Evan Fournier67680.08-0.580.660.022-192116.117.3-1.2114.612.62.05
Andrew Nicholson230.00-0.500.500.06-2-151313.516.5-3.0316.014.02.04
Maurice Harkless2426-0.14-0.360.21-0.06-3-141114.817.0-2.2015.713.42.25
Channing Frye5655-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.20-4-13915.318.2-2.8414.613.21.38
Tobias Harris6970-0.33-0.17-0.150.05-13-4-917.015.11.8413.814.7-0.95
Elfrid Payton5052-0.34-0.16-0.180.04-13-4-916.316.7-0.4414.313.70.63
Kyle O'Quinn4446-0.35-0.15-0.200.03-13-4-916.316.6-0.3713.814.3-0.50
Nikola Vucevic6261-0.36-0.14-0.230.08-15-2-1317.015.31.7013.814.4-0.61
Ben Gordon3231-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.10-9-8-117.815.82.0912.015.0-3.05
Victor Oladipo6463-0.37-0.13-0.250.07-15-2-1317.115.21.8613.614.9-1.33

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelly Olynyk60580.59-0.090.68-0.0321-42513.714.6-0.9217.115.51.52
Avery Bradley65640.53-0.030.57-0.1423-62914.014.2-0.2117.015.41.52
Brandon Bass43410.340.160.19-0.01125714.114.00.1317.215.91.33
Rajon Rondo64620.300.200.10-0.111431114.612.81.7616.516.40.14
Gerald Wallace18180.210.29-0.080.03611-512.614.4-1.7417.616.21.35
Jeff Green62620.180.32-0.150.09314-1114.712.71.9815.817.8-2.09
Evan Turner37370.170.33-0.150.12215-1313.114.6-1.5416.916.20.65
Phil Pressey39390.110.39-0.290.02314-1113.614.3-0.6415.816.9-1.06
Jared Sullinger47470.080.42-0.35-0.01314-1114.513.60.9315.717.3-1.62
Tyler Zeller4042-0.010.51-0.520.05-219-2113.914.1-0.2115.817.0-1.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.84,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 88, PHX 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,194.8%
TOR 106, BKN 1130.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.91,0.98,0.94,0.95,0.95,1,1,1,1,194.6%
HOU 80, MIA 1010.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,194.6%