NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	92		Excitement	5.3 [755]		MVP	Kelly Olynyk (BOS): +15.0%
Boston Celtics	109		Comeback	2.7 [576]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (ORL): -20.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.00	-0.04	9	65%	0.09	3	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Channing Frye	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	9	65%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elfrid Payton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	73%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Andrew Nicholson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	14	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	19	47%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.07	0.03	12	29%	-0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.00	8	79%	0.17	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.06	0.04	10	69%	0.13	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	5	83%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.02	0.04	13	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	14	52%	0.11	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.03	6	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	23.1	16.4	23.6	2.3	29.5	120.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +52.5%

BOS +4.7%

BOS +5.1%

ORL -14.0%

BOS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BOS	NBA	ORL	BOS	NBA
this game	16.5	14.0	15.1	97.9	114.7	104.2
season	14.9	14.3		100.4	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.3		103.3	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.7	16.6	16.7	17.0	16.5
BOS	14.3	14.7	15.3	12.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Fournier	67	68	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-19	21	16.1	17.3	-1.21	14.6	12.6	2.05
Andrew Nicholson	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	13.5	16.5	-3.03	16.0	14.0	2.04
Maurice Harkless	24	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-14	11	14.8	17.0	-2.20	15.7	13.4	2.25
Channing Frye	56	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-13	9	15.3	18.2	-2.84	14.6	13.2	1.38
Tobias Harris	69	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.05	-13	-4	-9	17.0	15.1	1.84	13.8	14.7	-0.95
Elfrid Payton	50	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-4	-9	16.3	16.7	-0.44	14.3	13.7	0.63
Kyle O'Quinn	44	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-4	-9	16.3	16.6	-0.37	13.8	14.3	-0.50
Nikola Vucevic	62	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.08	-15	-2	-13	17.0	15.3	1.70	13.8	14.4	-0.61
Ben Gordon	32	31	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-8	-1	17.8	15.8	2.09	12.0	15.0	-3.05
Victor Oladipo	64	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	-2	-13	17.1	15.2	1.86	13.6	14.9	-1.33

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	60	58	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.03	21	-4	25	13.7	14.6	-0.92	17.1	15.5	1.52
Avery Bradley	65	64	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.14	23	-6	29	14.0	14.2	-0.21	17.0	15.4	1.52
Brandon Bass	43	41	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.01	12	5	7	14.1	14.0	0.13	17.2	15.9	1.33
Rajon Rondo	64	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	3	11	14.6	12.8	1.76	16.5	16.4	0.14
Gerald Wallace	18	18	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	11	-5	12.6	14.4	-1.74	17.6	16.2	1.35
Jeff Green	62	62	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	14	-11	14.7	12.7	1.98	15.8	17.8	-2.09
Evan Turner	37	37	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.12	2	15	-13	13.1	14.6	-1.54	16.9	16.2	0.65
Phil Pressey	39	39	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	14	-11	13.6	14.3	-0.64	15.8	16.9	-1.06
Jared Sullinger	47	47	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	14	-11	14.5	13.6	0.93	15.7	17.3	-1.62
Tyler Zeller	40	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	19	-21	13.9	14.1	-0.21	15.8	17.0	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.84,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 88, PHX 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
TOR 106, BKN 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.91,0.98,0.94,0.95,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
HOU 80, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%