NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	88		Excitement	5.3 [739]		MVP	Jason Richardson (PHX): +17.4%
Phoenix Suns	104		Comeback	2.6 [869]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): -17.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.01	-0.06	15	50%	0.11	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Spencer Hawes	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	87%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	0.01	0.06	9	85%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Donte Greene	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.05	15	48%	0.08	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Dominic McGuire	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	5	40%	-0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.05	0.07	13	53%	-0.04	5	-0.14	4	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.01	0.01	18	68%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.01	11	67%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	8	52%	0.06	1	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	19	43%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	0.03	11	46%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	27.5	15.7	25.2	2.4	31.2	130.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +3.5%

PHX +4.8%

PHX +18.4%

PHX +24.6%

SAC -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	16.2	15.6	15.3	97.8	114.3	106.0
season	15.2	14.4		103.7	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.0		109.0	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.7	18.2	16.3	15.9	16.2
PHX	13.5	16.0	16.4	16.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ime Udoka	26	27	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.06	6	-22	28	14.7	16.8	-2.19	16.6	15.2	1.39
Spencer Hawes	19	20	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-19	22	17.1	16.0	1.07	17.2	15.2	2.10
Beno Udrih	40	41	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-14	12	17.3	15.3	1.96	18.3	13.4	4.83
Dominic McGuire	32	33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-10	4	17.8	15.3	2.48	16.4	15.2	1.22
Omri Casspi	51	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.07	-14	-2	-12	16.9	15.3	1.55	14.8	16.5	-1.69
Donte Greene	81	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.00	-13	-3	-10	16.2	16.7	-0.51	15.4	17.4	-1.99
Carl Landry	72	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-2	-12	15.7	18.4	-2.72	15.6	15.7	-0.06
Jason Thompson	60	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.03	-17	1	-18	15.8	16.9	-1.08	14.3	18.4	-4.16
Tyreke Evans	69	70	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	0.03	-23	7	-30	15.6	18.1	-2.46	14.9	18.1	-3.29

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	74	73	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.06	20	-4	24	15.1	17.9	-2.86	15.8	18.1	-2.35
Jason Richardson	63	63	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.12	20	-4	24	15.5	15.8	-0.30	16.6	15.3	1.36
Amar'e Stoudemire	70	71	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	-1	18	15.6	15.7	-0.13	16.2	16.3	-0.13
Steve Nash	66	66	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.13	18	-2	20	15.1	17.0	-1.91	16.1	16.4	-0.28
Robin Lopez	54	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	7	2	14.4	17.4	-2.93	16.0	16.6	-0.57
Channing Frye	37	36	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	9	-2	17.4	14.4	2.93	16.6	16.0	0.57
Goran Dragic	25	24	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.16	-2	18	-20	17.0	15.1	1.91	16.4	16.1	0.28
Jared Dudley	37	35	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	20	-24	16.4	15.1	1.29	15.7	16.5	-0.86
Lou Amundson	21	19	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	17	-18	15.7	15.6	0.13	16.3	16.2	0.13
Earl Clark	8	9	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	20	-24	17.7	15.4	2.34	19.0	15.9	3.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 106, BKN 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.91,0.98,0.94,0.95,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
ORL 92, BOS 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.84,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
CHI 69, IND 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.92,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%