NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	106		Excitement	5.1 [788]		MVP	Brook Lopez (BKN): +17.1%
Brooklyn Nets	113		Comeback	2.5 [768]		LVP	Terrence Ross (TOR): -9.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.04	0.02	11	68%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	2	100%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.23	-0.00	0.16	7	100%	0.07	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Amir Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.03	7	75%	0.11	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Landry Fields	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	60%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	6	38%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Alan Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	18%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Aaron Gray	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	15	37%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	9	22%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.07	0.02	12	65%	0.17	0	0.00	10	100%	0.07
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.03	0.03	18	57%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	70%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	10	70%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	5	54%	0.08	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	8	56%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	13	62%	0.09	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	64%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Damion James	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.0	36.0	15.0	25.5	2.0	29.4	132.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +27.1%

BKN +6.8%

TOR -6.6%

BKN +20.2%

BKN +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BKN	NBA	TOR	BKN	NBA
this game	15.9	16.1	15.4	117.8	125.6	104.1
season	16.1	16.5		104.4	106.5
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.2	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.5	15.1	16.3	15.7	15.9
BKN	15.5	14.3	17.2	17.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	26	28	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.33	16	-23	39	14.9	16.3	-1.40	17.6	15.5	2.10
Quincy Acy	12	12	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.04	6	-13	19	16.2	15.8	0.43	15.3	16.2	-0.91
Aaron Gray	32	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-3	-1	15.1	16.3	-1.17	16.1	16.1	-0.04
Alan Anderson	17	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-2	-3	15.2	16.0	-0.86	14.8	16.4	-1.67
Amir Johnson	47	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.30	5	-12	17	16.0	15.8	0.21	16.5	15.6	0.90
Terrence Ross	44	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-12	17	15.2	16.5	-1.27	16.7	15.6	1.15
John Lucas III	21	22	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-7	7	15.7	15.9	-0.21	17.7	15.6	2.12
Ed Davis	54	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	4	-15	17.1	14.1	2.94	15.6	16.9	-1.28
Jose Calderon	57	55	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	8	-23	15.8	16.0	-0.19	15.4	17.3	-1.86
DeMar DeRozan	66	64	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.01	-19	12	-31	16.0	15.6	0.40	15.7	17.2	-1.50
Landry Fields	74	75	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.26	-13	6	-19	16.1	14.7	1.37	16.2	15.7	0.55

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	80	80	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.19	17	-10	27	16.0	17.1	-1.10	15.8	16.4	-0.59
Mirza Teletovic	41	40	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.19	10	-3	13	16.2	16.1	0.13	15.3	16.3	-1.00
Brook Lopez	55	55	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.01	13	-6	19	15.7	16.8	-1.16	15.7	16.1	-0.34
Keith Bogans	50	51	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	-4	15	15.8	16.5	-0.77	15.7	16.1	-0.35
Joe Johnson	71	70	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	2	3	16.5	14.8	1.69	15.4	17.6	-2.21
MarShon Brooks	22	22	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	7	-7	15.5	16.3	-0.82	17.5	15.4	2.15
Andray Blatche	34	35	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.28	-6	13	-19	17.2	15.5	1.69	16.1	15.7	0.34
Reggie Evans	41	41	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	6	-5	16.4	15.9	0.49	16.1	15.7	0.49
CJ Watson	29	29	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.29	-8	15	-23	17.3	15.6	1.70	15.9	15.9	0.03
Damion James	1	1	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	7	-7	5.0	16.2	-11.25	3.0	16.0	-13.02
Kris Humphries	8	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	11	-15	14.4	16.3	-1.92	18.9	15.6	3.29
Jerry Stackhouse	18	18	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	11	-15	15.1	16.4	-1.26	16.5	15.7	0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.91,0.98,0.94,0.95,0.95,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 88, PHX 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%
CHI 69, IND 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.92,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
ORL 92, BOS 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.84,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%