NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	111		Excitement	7.7 [297]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +40.9%
New Orleans Pelicans	119		Comeback	22.3 [130]		LVP	Alec Burks (UTA): -17.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Exum	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.01	7	80%	0.20	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	6	83%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	22	58%	0.12	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.04
Rodney Hood	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	83%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.05	-0.03	16	47%	0.07	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.08	-0.04	9	73%	0.08	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Joe Ingles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18	-0.05	-0.14	-0.02	18	40%	-0.13	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.39,0.41	0.41	0.23	0.21	0.02	15	84%	0.46	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.06
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.26	0.11	0.03	15	87%	0.34	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.04,-0.03,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.05	0.02	15	58%	0.16	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	4	77%	0.11	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.00	10	57%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	6	33%	-0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	23.5	15.6	25.8	1.8	34.8	129.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +64.1%

NOP +2.8%

UTA -8.6%

UTA -7.0%

UTA -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NOP	NBA	UTA	NOP	NBA
this game	16.8	14.1	15.1	118.1	129.3	104.2
season	16.2	15.8		103.8	106.3
opponent	15.2	15.3		106.1	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.2	17.4	16.1	17.7	16.8
NOP	13.7	16.1	15.2	11.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	64	62	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.06	8	-16	24	16.7	16.9	-0.18	14.6	13.1	1.58
Joe Ingles	24	23	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.10	0	-8	8	17.5	16.6	0.93	14.3	14.1	0.17
Rodney Hood	20	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-4	0	15.8	17.1	-1.28	16.0	13.5	2.55
Jeremy Evans	8	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.13	-9	1	-10	21.2	16.4	4.85	12.1	14.3	-2.15
Trevor Booker	42	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.17	1	-9	10	16.0	17.4	-1.42	15.3	13.2	2.08
Dante Exum	40	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.10	-11	3	-14	16.4	17.1	-0.67	14.6	13.8	0.89
Gordon Hayward	69	67	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.34	3	-11	14	16.4	17.8	-1.41	14.3	13.6	0.67
Trey Burke	54	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.36	3	-11	14	17.1	16.4	0.67	13.8	14.6	-0.89
Alec Burks	75	72	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.35	-15	7	-22	17.2	15.3	1.94	13.3	17.1	-3.86
Enes Kanter	74	72	-0.91	0.41	-1.31	-0.44	-16	8	-24	16.8	16.7	0.07	13.2	17.3	-4.11

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Rivers	52	53	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.22	16	-8	24	13.9	14.4	-0.57	16.5	17.2	-0.73
Ryan Anderson	53	54	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.16	16	-8	24	13.9	14.4	-0.53	16.5	17.2	-0.68
Jrue Holiday	61	63	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	4	0	14.1	14.3	-0.19	16.8	16.9	-0.14
Tyreke Evans	63	64	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.46	1	7	-6	13.9	14.6	-0.62	16.9	16.5	0.40
Anthony Davis	66	69	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	7	-6	14.4	13.5	0.88	16.7	17.1	-0.42
Jimmer Fredette	25	25	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.12	9	-1	10	13.8	14.2	-0.40	17.4	16.6	0.81
Jeff Withey	26	25	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.10	7	1	6	13.5	14.4	-0.88	17.1	16.7	0.42
Omer Asik	39	40	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.10	-8	16	-24	14.4	13.9	0.53	17.2	16.5	0.68
Luke Babbitt	20	22	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	14	-20	12.4	14.6	-2.21	16.5	16.9	-0.34
Dante Cunningham	55	55	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.17	0	8	-8	15.4	12.2	3.20	16.9	16.7	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.54,0.67,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 71, DET 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.38,0.46,0.65,0.96,1	91.4%
CHH 83, LAL 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.46,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.19,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.85,0.96,1	91.0%
DAL 107, GSW 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.78,0.68,0.74,1	90.7%