NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	96		Excitement	6.5 [515]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): +6.9%
Utah Jazz	100		Comeback	1.5 [240]		LVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): -23.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	10	65%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.02	0.05	16	64%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aron Baynes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	13	52%	0.04	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.03
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.01	0.04	9	57%	0.04	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Matt Bonner	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.20	-0.07	-0.04	17	26%	-0.08	4	-0.15	5	60%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.08	-0.02	13	57%	0.21	5	-0.15	9	67%	0.09
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	20	51%	0.13	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	11	54%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	9	40%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.6	26.4	14.7	27.1	2.4	39.6	134.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +31.6%

UTA +19.6%

UTA +20.9%

SAS -21.9%

SAS -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	14.1	16.2	15.1	102.1	104.2	104.2
season	15.4	16.2		106.9	103.8
opponent	15.3	14.9		103.7	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.7	12.3	16.3	13.2	14.1
UTA	17.4	17.0	13.8	16.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	41	42	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.03	6	-10	16	13.9	14.3	-0.39	16.5	16.0	0.49
Manu Ginobili	56	57	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.23	6	-10	16	12.9	15.9	-3.02	16.5	15.8	0.72
Aron Baynes	24	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-2	0	13.0	14.5	-1.42	16.3	16.2	0.17
Marco Belinelli	45	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.23	1	-5	6	14.0	14.2	-0.14	16.5	15.9	0.57
Kawhi Leonard	71	71	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.25	0	-4	4	14.1	14.0	0.13	15.7	17.6	-1.84
Tim Duncan	70	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-2	0	14.5	13.0	1.42	16.2	16.3	-0.17
Cory Joseph	58	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.17	-11	7	-18	14.9	12.8	2.14	15.8	16.8	-0.94
Danny Green	56	58	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.35	-5	1	-6	14.1	14.2	-0.10	16.5	15.8	0.72
Boris Diaw	49	51	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.27	-13	9	-22	14.8	13.4	1.42	16.1	16.3	-0.13

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	60	58	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-9	22	17.1	14.7	2.45	14.4	13.6	0.74
Joe Ingles	33	33	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	-1	6	15.8	16.4	-0.62	13.2	14.6	-1.41
Trey Burke	64	62	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.41	-2	6	-8	16.0	16.6	-0.64	14.3	13.7	0.62
Alec Burks	58	57	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.29	2	2	0	17.1	14.8	2.37	14.0	14.2	-0.20
Derrick Favors	65	64	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.39	-2	6	-8	16.0	16.6	-0.57	14.2	14.0	0.19
Gordon Hayward	74	72	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.35	-3	7	-10	15.3	19.2	-3.93	14.0	14.3	-0.23
Rudy Gobert	31	30	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	-2	8	16.6	16.0	0.57	14.0	14.2	-0.19
Dante Exum	32	32	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	-2	8	16.6	16.0	0.64	13.7	14.3	-0.62
Rodney Hood	32	31	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	4	-4	15.3	16.7	-1.38	14.4	14.0	0.39
Trevor Booker	31	31	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.05	-5	9	-14	16.2	16.2	-0.01	14.5	13.9	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.64,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.78,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 82, SEA 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.96,1,1,1	93.8%
MIN 85, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,1	93.8%
SAC 98, LAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.57,0.68,0.86,0.97,0.91,0.9,0.93,1,1,1	93.4%