NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	98		Excitement	6.8 [445]		MVP	Malik Sealy (LAC): +8.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	108		Comeback	1.8 [729]		LVP	Lamond Murray (LAC): -19.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	10	68%	0.10	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.03
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	16	56%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lionel Simmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Gamble	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	42%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Michael Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	1	75%	-0.00	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Mitch Richmond	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	28	45%	-0.08	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Tyus Edney	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	5	57%	-0.02	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.05	0.03	16	66%	0.13	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.05
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	10	58%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	8	65%	0.10	1	-0.04	10	90%	0.06
Darrick Martin	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.03	8	80%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	4	70%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	12	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.03	-0.04	5	40%	-0.02	3	-0.07	5	40%	-0.03
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	4	21%	-0.14	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.0	27.2	15.7	25.3	1.7	39.4	136.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +21.6%

LAC +25.1%

LAC +3.1%

LAC +0.1%

LAC +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	14.9	15.3	15.6	103.2	112.5	104.4
season	15.4	15.8		102.4	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.4		105.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.8	15.4	16.5	12.5	14.9
LAC	15.5	16.6	16.2	13.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Gamble	14	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-9	8	14.6	14.9	-0.37	16.1	15.1	0.94
Lionel Simmons	19	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-12	14	14.6	15.0	-0.38	16.8	14.9	1.99
Billy Owens	55	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-5	0	16.1	13.2	2.82	15.5	14.9	0.64
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	62	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-7	4	14.9	14.8	0.15	15.4	15.1	0.28
Michael Smith	70	70	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-2	-6	14.8	15.0	-0.21	15.3	15.1	0.21
Tyus Edney	33	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-3	-4	14.8	14.9	-0.15	15.1	15.4	-0.28
Brian Grant	21	21	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-3	-4	15.9	14.6	1.31	16.0	15.1	0.93
Olden Polynice	68	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-5	0	14.6	15.5	-0.83	15.1	15.8	-0.76
Mitch Richmond	79	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-2	-6	14.8	15.1	-0.21	15.0	16.5	-1.47
Corliss Williamson	54	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.17	-8	-2	-6	13.9	16.2	-2.31	14.5	16.3	-1.83

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Sealy	66	67	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	-1	12	15.0	15.8	-0.72	14.7	15.2	-0.52
Lorenzen Wright	66	67	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	-1	12	15.0	15.8	-0.72	14.7	15.2	-0.52
Lamond Murray	29	29	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	4	2	15.1	15.3	-0.24	13.6	15.4	-1.82
Rodney Rogers	57	57	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	6	-2	14.8	16.0	-1.27	13.7	16.7	-3.00
Brent Barry	59	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	6	-2	14.7	16.1	-1.41	13.6	16.9	-3.33
Darrick Martin	37	37	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	4	2	16.1	14.7	1.41	16.9	13.6	3.33
Bo Outlaw	68	66	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	5	0	15.5	14.6	0.94	15.2	14.1	1.12
Loy Vaught	60	58	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	5	0	16.0	14.1	1.94	16.2	12.9	3.26
Eric Piatkowski	8	8	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	11	-12	13.6	15.4	-1.80	17.2	14.7	2.58
Terry Dehere	30	28	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	11	-12	15.8	15.0	0.72	15.2	14.7	0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.57,0.68,0.86,0.97,0.91,0.9,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 96, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.64,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.78,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.4%
HOU 73, PHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.67,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.6,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.4%
ORL 103, TOR 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	93.3%