NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	86		Excitement	3.1 [1149]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +19.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	114		Comeback	1.0 [1303]		LVP	Channing Frye (ORL): -7.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.00	-0.02	11	70%	0.11	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Kyle O'Quinn	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.15	0.00	-0.15	3	0%	-0.00	5	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	8	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	-0.00
Andrew Nicholson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	21%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Evan Fournier	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	11	41%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	7	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	8	44%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	8	46%	-0.04	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
Elfrid Payton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	6	38%	-0.02	2	-0.03	9	22%	-0.09
Channing Frye	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.18	0.01	-0.01	11	83%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.01	0.03	10	86%	0.14	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.04	8	81%	0.06	3	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	16	58%	0.08	4	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	71%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.01	0.05	7	86%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	6	44%	-0.00	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.06
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.7	34.7	15.5	24.5	1.5	26.4	129.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +28.2%

LAC +8.3%

LAC +8.6%

LAC +4.3%

LAC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAC	NBA	ORL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.9	14.1	15.1	86.0	115.2	104.2
season	14.9	14.6		100.4	110.5
opponent	15.3	15.3		104.6	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.9	16.4	14.5	12.7	14.9
LAC	12.4	12.9	14.9	16.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	27	27	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.13	6	-34	40	13.1	15.5	-2.39	14.3	14.0	0.34
Ben Gordon	39	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.20	-7	-21	14	14.8	14.9	-0.07	15.3	13.3	1.97
Luke Ridnour	27	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.22	-8	-20	12	12.6	15.7	-3.10	15.9	13.3	2.58
Andrew Nicholson	35	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.18	-7	-21	14	13.1	15.9	-2.82	16.4	12.8	3.60
Maurice Harkless	38	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.24	-10	-18	8	13.6	15.7	-2.16	16.1	12.8	3.25
Kyle O'Quinn	14	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.09	-7	-21	14	16.4	14.7	1.71	11.9	14.4	-2.50
Elfrid Payton	63	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-25	22	15.2	14.4	0.81	13.2	15.4	-2.22
Dewayne Dedmon	53	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.16	-11	-17	6	14.7	15.1	-0.45	14.3	13.8	0.42
Channing Frye	53	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.15	-14	-14	0	15.1	14.7	0.43	14.7	13.3	1.40
Evan Fournier	47	46	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.18	-23	-5	-18	16.1	13.8	2.38	12.6	15.3	-2.65
Tobias Harris	52	53	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.20	-28	0	-28	16.1	13.6	2.47	12.2	16.2	-4.05
Victor Oladipo	52	52	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	0.18	-28	0	-28	16.1	13.5	2.59	13.0	15.2	-2.25

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	60	60	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.16	27	1	26	12.9	15.8	-2.96	15.9	13.4	2.44
Blake Griffin	60	60	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.16	27	1	26	12.9	15.8	-2.96	15.9	13.4	2.44
JJ Redick	59	59	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.14	26	2	24	13.3	15.2	-1.93	15.9	13.4	2.46
DeAndre Jordan	55	55	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.14	23	5	18	13.2	15.1	-1.87	16.0	13.5	2.55
Matt Barnes	79	81	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.43	32	-4	36	14.1	13.9	0.13	15.2	13.7	1.49
Glen Davis	27	27	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.22	8	20	-12	15.9	13.3	2.58	12.6	15.7	-3.10
CJ Wilcox	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	29	-30	15.5	13.9	1.65	11.7	15.3	-3.66
Ekpe Udoh	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	26	-24	15.9	13.8	2.06	11.8	15.2	-3.43
Jared Cunningham	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	29	-30	15.5	13.9	1.65	11.7	15.3	-3.66
Spencer Hawes	34	35	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.12	3	25	-22	14.9	13.6	1.22	14.0	15.4	-1.41
Jordan Farmar	29	30	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.21	3	25	-22	15.3	13.5	1.73	14.4	15.1	-0.65
Jamal Crawford	46	46	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	30	-32	15.0	13.2	1.77	13.8	15.8	-2.01
Hedo Turkoglu	12	13	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	35	-42	15.7	13.8	1.84	15.1	14.9	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 76, HOU 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.3%
DET 93, MIL 113	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
WAS 83, ATL 101	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.84,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%