NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	76		Excitement	3.0 [1161]		MVP	Eddie Griffin (HOU): +5.7%
Houston Rockets	88		Comeback	1.0 [939]		LVP	Voshon Lenard (TOR): -9.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.03	18	45%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	5	67%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Chris Jefferies	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	52%	0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Mamadou N'diaye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jelani McCoy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	5	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	16	46%	-0.02	4	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	9	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Voshon Lenard	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	10	24%	-0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Griffin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	56%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	23	55%	0.09	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	70%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	7	50%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	20	45%	-0.02	3	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Juaquin Hawkins	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.14	0.00	-0.08	6	36%	-0.00	5	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.6	25.3	16.5	24.4	1.6	26.4	124.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +36.7%

TOR -4.7%

HOU +15.2%

HOU +2.2%

HOU +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	HOU	NBA	TOR	HOU	NBA
this game	15.4	16.4	15.5	84.4	96.7	101.6
season	16.2	16.3		98.8	101.7
opponent	15.4	15.3		100.4	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.4	15.6	16.0	12.6	15.4
HOU	16.9	16.4	14.0	18.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Bradley	47	47	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.29	10	-22	32	13.4	17.6	-4.11	17.0	15.7	1.32
Jerome Williams	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-14	16	15.1	15.5	-0.39	18.5	16.1	2.40
Chris Jefferies	16	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.21	7	-19	26	11.2	16.3	-5.06	19.2	15.7	3.44
Mamadou N'diaye	32	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.34	9	-21	30	13.3	16.6	-3.21	19.0	14.9	4.07
Lindsey Hunter	53	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-18	24	13.3	18.4	-5.13	17.7	14.5	3.20
Vince Carter	9	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.13	-10	-2	-8	23.3	14.5	8.80	16.2	16.4	-0.20
Voshon Lenard	81	82	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-10	8	14.5	23.3	-8.80	16.4	16.2	0.20
Alvin Williams	50	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	3	-18	17.6	12.6	5.01	15.3	17.7	-2.43
Jelani McCoy	41	43	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.27	-24	12	-36	17.6	13.6	4.08	14.5	18.1	-3.59
Antonio Davis	47	46	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.12	-21	9	-30	16.9	13.7	3.19	15.1	17.8	-2.67
Morris Peterson	61	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.12	-22	10	-32	16.5	13.1	3.40	15.3	18.5	-3.15

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juaquin Hawkins	75	72	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.07	22	-10	32	16.1	18.0	-1.93	15.9	13.4	2.46
Steve Francis	87	86	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.13	14	-2	16	16.1	22.7	-6.64	15.4	15.5	-0.09
Cuttino Mobley	79	78	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.10	21	-9	30	16.5	15.7	0.85	15.4	15.3	0.09
Eddie Griffin	47	47	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.06	16	-4	20	15.8	17.0	-1.24	16.6	14.2	2.39
Kelvin Cato	46	46	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	3	6	16.2	16.6	-0.47	15.8	15.0	0.72
Yao Ming	45	44	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	9	-6	16.6	16.2	0.47	15.0	15.8	-0.72
Kenny Thomas	44	43	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.21	-4	16	-20	17.0	15.8	1.24	14.2	16.6	-2.39
Moochie Norris	32	34	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.49	-21	33	-54	17.7	15.7	2.02	14.4	16.1	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 101, WAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
LAL 90, PHX 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
CHI 82, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%