inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 93 Excitement2.8 [1227] MVPCharlie Bell (MIL): +12.9%
Milwaukee Bucks 113 Comeback1.0 [1287] LVPJoe Smith (MIL): -6.7%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kelvin Cato0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.01-0.00-0.03650%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Tony Delk0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.02-0.00-0.03643%0.031-0.0220%-0.03
Amir Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.180.000.186112%0.001-0.004100%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.021041%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Dale Davis-0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.02425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Maxiell-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.04750%0.033-0.04837%-0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.00750%0.021-0.032100%0.01
Tayshaun Prince-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.0210%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Maurice Evans-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.02830%-0.0200.004100%0.01
Carlos Delfino-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.010.031358%0.014-0.04560%-0.01
Alex Acker-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.08-0.01-0.04825%-0.041-0.0000%0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.00-0.03825%-0.051-0.02425%-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charlie Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.060.02-0.05962%0.1310.00367%-0.00
Bobby Simmons0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.170.000.061095%0.111-0.0100%0.00
Michael Redd0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.130.010.061370%0.0800.001100%0.01
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.050.01-0.081055%0.074-0.0320%-0.00
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.00-0.03753%0.052-0.0210%-0.01
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.070.000.07771%0.001-0.00367%0.00
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jiri Welsch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jermaine Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
T.J. Ford0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.000.051159%0.022-0.04560%0.01
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.000.03575%0.003-0.03250%-0.01
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.01521%-0.041-0.02475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.11.827.115.725.12.328.4123.5
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +42.6%
MIL +2.3%
DET -1.9%
MIL +4.9%
MIL +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMILNBADETMILNBA
this game14.514.415.693.0114.1104.4
season16.915.5108.3104.6
opponent15.515.8106.0101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET16.814.216.011.414.5
MIL12.515.814.015.314.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Maxiell59570.02-0.520.55-0.094-242812.916.9-3.9415.013.61.34
Amir Johnson4140-0.03-0.470.45-0.030-202012.615.9-3.2514.614.30.27
Antonio McDyess4038-0.13-0.370.24-0.130-202014.014.9-0.8814.814.20.61
Carlos Delfino6161-0.14-0.360.21-0.140-202013.116.8-3.7115.213.12.17
Tony Delk3836-0.17-0.330.16-0.08-3-171414.314.7-0.3915.114.01.01
Kelvin Cato4041-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.08-6-14812.316.0-3.6814.314.5-0.17
Alex Acker4041-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.08-6-14812.316.0-3.6814.314.5-0.17
Maurice Evans4746-0.27-0.23-0.030.14-14-6-816.313.03.3014.414.4-0.04
Dale Davis2526-0.27-0.23-0.040.14-14-6-818.413.35.1113.814.6-0.77
Tayshaun Prince3535-0.31-0.19-0.120.16-16-4-1217.013.23.7613.315.0-1.70
Chauncey Billups3838-0.33-0.17-0.150.29-211-2217.113.04.1113.415.0-1.57
Ben Wallace3636-0.37-0.13-0.240.34-244-2817.612.84.7313.614.9-1.22

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Redd64650.59-0.090.68-0.4435-155013.316.5-3.2515.911.94.02
Jamaal Magloire53520.58-0.080.66-0.2428-83613.315.7-2.3116.612.34.26
Andrew Bogut62640.410.090.32-0.3225-53014.214.8-0.5915.512.82.74
Toni Kukoc38380.250.250.010.11515-1014.414.4-0.0712.016.1-4.04
T.J. Ford70720.250.25-0.01-0.11128414.614.00.5415.312.52.87
Bobby Simmons61630.240.26-0.02-0.201551014.414.40.0715.812.33.50
Charlie Bell43440.160.34-0.170.25-323-2615.313.71.6113.215.6-2.37
Joe Smith48490.020.48-0.460.08-222-2415.013.81.2213.815.3-1.48
Dan Gadzuric27270.000.50-0.500.27-929-3815.314.11.2111.415.7-4.33
Ervin Johnson870.000.50-0.500.06-222-2416.514.22.279.714.9-5.18
Jiri Welsch13120.000.50-0.500.06-222-2414.914.30.599.715.2-5.43
Jermaine Jackson870.000.50-0.500.06-222-2416.514.22.279.714.9-5.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 88, BKN 1040.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
WAS 72, BOS 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
TOR 76, HOU 880.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,196.3%