NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	83		Excitement	3.3 [907]		MVP	Nick Young (WAS): +17.0%
Atlanta Hawks	101		Comeback	1.0 [1006]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -9.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.01	0.01	12	70%	0.17	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.02	9	68%	0.12	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	11	62%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.05	4	87%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.16	-0.00	-0.13	6	7%	-0.02	3	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.15	-0.01	-0.07	13	15%	-0.08	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
John Wall	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	15	50%	0.00	6	-0.10	10	80%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.03	8	65%	0.13	0	0.00	10	70%	0.02
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.01	-0.07	16	56%	0.14	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	-0.05	11	52%	0.09	2	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	69%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.01	-0.06	11	46%	0.04	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	62%	-0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	33.4	16.4	26.5	2.5	28.5	135.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +19.8%

ATL +5.1%

ATL +9.6%

ATL +11.9%

ATL +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.0	16.5	15.6	90.2	111.0	102.8
season	15.0	15.7		99.5	102.5
opponent	15.9	15.7		99.5	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.8	17.6	15.2	12.9	15.0
ATL	15.8	18.4	16.1	15.9	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelvin Mack	20	19	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.10	5	-23	28	15.7	14.8	0.94	17.4	16.2	1.13
Ronny Turiaf	36	35	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.14	5	-23	28	13.7	15.9	-2.16	15.8	16.9	-1.05
Roger Mason Jr.	6	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-20	22	13.8	15.1	-1.26	23.6	16.1	7.54
Kevin Seraphin	6	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-20	22	13.8	15.1	-1.26	23.6	16.1	7.54
Trevor Booker	11	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-19	20	15.3	15.0	0.30	14.8	16.7	-1.89
Nick Young	63	62	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-19	20	14.3	16.6	-2.30	16.1	17.2	-1.08
Chris Singleton	50	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.08	-1	-17	16	14.5	15.6	-1.03	17.3	15.5	1.72
Rashard Lewis	52	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.19	-19	1	-20	15.4	14.5	0.82	16.1	16.9	-0.82
Jordan Crawford	41	41	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.19	-22	4	-26	15.6	14.5	1.04	15.8	17.0	-1.17
Andray Blatche	53	51	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.02	-16	-2	-14	15.6	14.2	1.40	16.7	16.2	0.49
JaVale McGee	50	51	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.23	-25	7	-32	16.1	13.7	2.39	16.2	16.8	-0.58
John Wall	72	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.13	-23	5	-28	14.8	15.7	-0.94	16.2	17.4	-1.13

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	62	62	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.27	30	-12	42	16.9	15.6	1.25	14.9	15.3	-0.43
Al Horford	58	59	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.13	25	-7	32	17.5	14.7	2.83	15.3	14.5	0.73
Josh Smith	61	62	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.21	26	-8	34	17.1	15.2	1.95	15.3	14.4	0.96
Marvin Williams	56	55	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.21	26	-8	34	16.9	15.8	1.05	16.1	13.4	2.64
Jeff Teague	60	61	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.19	22	-4	26	16.2	16.9	-0.70	15.5	14.1	1.43
Tracy McGrady	37	38	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.18	-5	23	-28	16.5	16.5	-0.02	13.6	16.0	-2.39
Ivan Johnson	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	11.2	16.8	-5.68	12.4	15.2	-2.76
Jannero Pargo	29	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.17	-7	25	-32	16.2	16.6	-0.39	13.9	15.6	-1.70
Willie Green	25	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.17	-7	25	-32	15.4	16.9	-1.42	15.1	15.0	0.15
Vladimir Radmanovic	28	30	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.18	-10	28	-38	15.6	16.9	-1.25	15.3	14.9	0.43
Zaza Pachulia	33	33	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.18	-10	28	-38	15.2	17.2	-1.98	14.3	15.4	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.84,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 86, LAC 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
SEA 75, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
CHI 82, BOS 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,1,1	95.7%