inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Seattle SuperSonics 75 Excitement2.7 [1201] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +10.0%
San Antonio Spurs 96 Comeback1.0 [1176] LVPBrent Barry (SEA): -8.6%


Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.01-0.031647%0.041-0.024100%0.01
Calvin Booth0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.050.00-0.06540%0.022-0.0100%0.00
Antonio Daniels0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Leon Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Ridnour-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.011055%0.002-0.022100%0.00
Reggie Evans-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.0420%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Ronald Murray-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01650%-0.002-0.04250%-0.01
Ansu Sesay-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.001150%0.012-0.06475%-0.00
Richie Frahm-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.000.02935%-0.0600.002100%-0.00
Vitaly Potapenko-0.070,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.01837%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Brent Barry-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.01-0.03531%-0.062-0.03683%0.02

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.03-0.011660%0.121-0.023100%0.01
Tony Parker0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.011164%0.072-0.0200%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.02487%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.000.01683%0.042-0.0200%0.00
Devin Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.110.000.104110%0.0100.002100%0.01
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.0410%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Charlie Ward0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.080.00-0.0840%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.060.000.063117%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.011348%0.021-0.033100%0.01
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.090.00-0.03640%-0.003-0.05367%-0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01633%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.724.416.629.32.524.5125.3
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +36.9%
SAS +1.9%
SAS +7.5%
SAS +1.0%
SAS +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSEASASNBASEASASNBA
this game15.915.915.782.4106.7100.5
season15.615.9105.0100.1
opponent15.815.792.7105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SEA15.415.317.515.215.9
SAS14.618.313.617.415.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio Daniels14130.06-0.560.62-0.085-263116.715.70.9719.815.34.57
Calvin Booth35320.06-0.560.620.060-212115.815.9-0.1015.616.1-0.53
Leon Smith660.00-0.500.50-0.031-222312.816.1-3.2719.515.73.82
Luke Ridnour3940-0.05-0.450.41-0.081-222314.417.0-2.6316.115.80.34
Richie Frahm4645-0.05-0.450.40-0.112-232515.116.7-1.6717.014.82.18
Ansu Sesay6564-0.13-0.370.23-0.08-2-191714.918.3-3.3816.414.91.47
Ray Allen6363-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.02-10-11117.013.43.6116.115.60.54
Reggie Evans4245-0.39-0.11-0.290.05-15-6-917.214.72.5015.416.5-1.16
Ronald Murray4848-0.520.02-0.530.25-265-3116.315.40.9415.416.5-1.06
Vitaly Potapenko3737-0.560.06-0.610.20-265-3116.615.41.2815.316.4-1.13
Brent Barry6057-0.610.11-0.720.41-3514-4915.816.1-0.3614.518.4-3.89

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker58610.66-0.160.82-0.4337-165314.718.2-3.5915.816.0-0.16
Hedo Turkoglu51510.490.010.48-0.2224-32716.215.60.5217.413.93.46
Bruce Bowen53550.460.040.43-0.3026-53115.017.3-2.2717.014.22.85
Tim Duncan50520.400.100.30-0.071651115.516.5-1.0617.114.22.90
Rasho Nesterovic45450.360.140.22-0.3123-22515.816.1-0.3116.815.01.71
Robert Horry28310.290.200.09-0.261921714.816.5-1.6715.216.2-1.06
Charlie Ward17160.000.50-0.500.15-526-3117.615.52.1114.416.2-1.76
Kevin Willis17160.000.50-0.500.15-526-3117.615.52.1114.416.2-1.76
Jason Hart16150.000.50-0.500.12-425-2917.315.61.6814.316.2-1.94
Manu Ginobili4042-0.040.54-0.590.13-627-3315.816.0-0.1515.116.6-1.43
Malik Rose4038-0.050.55-0.610.27-1132-4316.815.31.5114.317.0-2.66
Devin Brown3533-0.070.57-0.640.20-930-3917.814.83.0114.216.9-2.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 87, PHX 1180.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
WAS 83, ATL 1010.5,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.84,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
PHX 95, DEN 1320.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.72,0.75,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%