NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	112		Excitement	5.3 [752]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (POR): +21.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	99		Comeback	2.5 [278]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -13.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.00	15	67%	0.22	4	-0.08	9	89%	0.03
Quincy Pondexter	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.01	5	83%	0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Courtney Lee	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	9	65%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.01	0.06	6	79%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jarnell Stokes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.05	17	54%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Zach Randolph	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	13	45%	0.00	2	-0.04	5	0%	-0.06
Vince Carter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.21	0.02	0.02	16	76%	0.22	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	16	51%	0.01	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	16	46%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	10	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	11	27%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.04	0.02	19	43%	-0.06	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.0	27.2	15.4	25.1	0.8	34.5	128.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +53.2%

MEM +0.6%

POR -4.3%

POR -0.2%

MEM +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	POR	NBA	MEM	POR	NBA
this game	14.8	15.2	15.1	115.5	104.2	104.2
season	15.9	15.3		103.8	106.5
opponent	15.0	15.2		102.7	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.4	14.2	14.1	17.8	14.8
POR	15.4	16.5	16.6	12.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	77	76	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.03	21	-8	29	14.5	15.9	-1.35	15.4	14.3	1.14
Marc Gasol	73	71	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-3	19	14.5	15.7	-1.17	15.1	15.4	-0.26
Quincy Pondexter	45	43	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	2	9	15.4	14.3	1.16	15.5	14.9	0.52
Tony Allen	68	66	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	4	5	15.1	14.1	1.03	14.5	16.7	-2.22
Zach Randolph	65	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	3	7	14.8	15.0	-0.21	14.7	16.1	-1.36
Courtney Lee	62	62	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	10	-7	14.5	15.4	-0.94	15.1	15.4	-0.28
Jon Leuer	26	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	12	-11	15.6	14.5	1.03	15.5	15.0	0.47
Vince Carter	18	18	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	8	-3	12.1	15.4	-3.33	17.7	14.6	3.14
Kosta Koufos	29	27	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	12	-11	14.3	15.0	-0.73	16.3	14.7	1.61
Jarnell Stokes	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	36.0	14.6	21.40	8.0	15.3	-7.26
Beno Udrih	21	20	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.15	-10	23	-33	16.9	14.3	2.59	13.9	15.5	-1.56

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Freeland	21	22	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.04	6	-19	25	13.6	15.6	-2.06	15.5	14.6	0.93
Steve Blake	42	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-9	5	16.0	14.5	1.43	14.3	15.2	-0.85
Will Barton	8	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.00	-5	-8	3	17.7	14.9	2.81	15.2	14.8	0.44
Wesley Matthews	72	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-13	13	14.3	17.8	-3.44	15.3	13.4	1.87
Allen Crabbe	23	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-5	-3	17.3	14.5	2.80	13.5	15.3	-1.81
Robin Lopez	45	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-6	-1	14.8	15.5	-0.76	14.9	14.7	0.17
Damian Lillard	73	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-8	3	14.8	16.6	-1.84	15.0	14.2	0.87
Chris Kaman	48	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-2	-9	16.9	13.4	3.43	14.2	15.4	-1.14
Nicolas Batum	72	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.03	-16	3	-19	14.5	17.3	-2.86	15.0	14.2	0.85
LaMarcus Aldridge	71	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.10	-15	2	-17	15.3	14.8	0.46	14.7	15.1	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.25,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.21,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 90, MIL 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.2%
OKC 109, NOP 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
PHI 114, DEN 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%