NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	90		Excitement	4.2 [972]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +20.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	77		Comeback	2.1 [640]		LVP	Charlie Bell (MIL): -18.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.17	0.06	0.03	16	75%	0.28	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.03
Anthony Parker	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.02	0.02	11	67%	0.10	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Andrea Bargnani	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.05	11	50%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	8	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Joey Graham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
T.J. Ford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	13	54%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jorge Garbajosa	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	21%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	4	83%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damir Markota	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.04	9	61%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	15	46%	-0.02	4	-0.09	7	43%	-0.04
Steve Blake	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	14	31%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.04	0.03	15	53%	-0.02	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.02	-0.00	11	18%	-0.12	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.0	29.1	15.7	26.2	1.7	25.3	125.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +42.3%

TOR +10.3%

MIL -15.8%

TOR +9.4%

TOR +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIL	NBA	TOR	MIL	NBA
this game	16.1	17.2	15.4	102.3	90.6	104.5
season	15.2	15.2		104.7	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.4		109.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	18.7	12.8	13.9	19.8	16.1
MIL	14.7	17.9	19.8	16.2	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	61	59	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-1	15	16.6	15.2	1.37	17.5	16.4	1.14
T.J. Ford	59	57	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.03	14	-1	15	16.8	14.7	2.16	17.5	16.6	0.85
Chris Bosh	76	73	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	6	1	16.8	11.9	4.89	16.6	20.7	-4.16
Jorge Garbajosa	51	48	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	2	9	14.9	17.9	-3.03	17.4	16.9	0.50
Rasho Nesterovic	39	37	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.02	11	2	9	17.2	15.3	1.83	17.8	16.7	1.12
Joey Graham	31	32	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	4	5	14.3	17.1	-2.85	18.3	16.5	1.82
Kris Humphries	9	7	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.10	2	11	-9	12.1	16.6	-4.48	19.4	17.0	2.45
Andrea Bargnani	46	46	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	10	-7	17.6	14.6	2.99	16.3	18.2	-1.95
Morris Peterson	31	31	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	13	-13	15.7	16.4	-0.61	16.8	17.4	-0.53
Jose Calderon	29	28	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.08	-1	14	-15	14.7	16.8	-2.16	16.6	17.5	-0.85
Fred Jones	8	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	18	-23	14.7	16.3	-1.53	15.4	17.3	-1.90

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damir Markota	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-13	13	12.3	17.4	-5.02	16.7	16.1	0.55
Dan Gadzuric	20	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-9	5	17.7	17.0	0.75	14.5	16.6	-2.05
David Noel	32	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-15	17	17.0	17.3	-0.33	15.5	16.5	-0.95
Ersan Ilyasova	49	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-12	11	17.5	16.8	0.69	16.5	15.7	0.75
Brian Skinner	36	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	-1	-11	16.8	17.5	-0.69	15.7	16.5	-0.75
Ruben Patterson	70	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-8	3	17.1	17.7	-0.68	16.5	14.5	2.01
Steve Blake	69	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	-1	-11	17.0	18.0	-1.01	16.4	15.0	1.37
Charlie Bell	73	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.06	-16	3	-19	17.4	15.6	1.86	15.9	17.3	-1.39
Andrew Bogut	73	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	4	-21	17.3	16.2	1.18	16.4	14.5	1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 112, POR 99	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.25,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.21,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	95.2%
BOS 101, IND 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	95.1%
OKC 102, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0	95.0%