NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	109		Excitement	4.8 [873]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +13.4%
New Orleans Pelicans	95		Comeback	2.4 [777]		LVP	Al-Farouq Aminu (NOP): -19.6%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.13	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.18	0.01	0.06	17	74%	0.15	2	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Reggie Jackson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.03	-0.04	13	54%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	5	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	80%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.04	16	64%	0.15	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	12	53%	0.06	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Nick Collison	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	46%	0.01	3	-0.08	5	40%	-0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	4	90%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Josh Childress	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	14	52%	0.07	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.02
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	8	52%	0.04	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	12	55%	0.06	5	-0.11	5	80%	-0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	8	22%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	17	43%	-0.03	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.04	0.00	14	23%	-0.15	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	34.2	15.6	30.2	2.5	30.6	140.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +57.8%

OKC +2.0%

NOP -13.8%

OKC +6.5%

NOP -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	NOP	NBA	OKC	NOP	NBA
this game	14.4	15.5	15.1	112.4	99.0	105.2
season	14.4	15.5		107.8	105.6
opponent	15.3	15.4		108.5	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.9	11.8	13.6	15.5	14.4
NOP	16.6	16.3	15.2	13.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	77	77	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-1	16	14.3	14.7	-0.41	15.4	15.7	-0.26
Reggie Jackson	60	60	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.12	20	-6	26	13.2	16.2	-2.94	15.8	14.9	0.99
Nick Collison	48	49	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.19	21	-7	28	12.7	16.0	-3.25	17.1	13.8	3.23
Kevin Durant	74	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	-2	18	14.1	15.1	-0.94	15.2	16.4	-1.26
Russell Westbrook	70	71	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.07	14	0	14	14.0	15.2	-1.18	14.7	17.6	-2.92
Thabo Sefolosha	57	56	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	15	-16	15.1	13.3	1.87	13.4	18.4	-5.09
Jeremy Lamb	28	26	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	15	-16	15.3	14.0	1.29	15.8	15.4	0.45
Ryan Gomes	10	10	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.08	1	13	-12	15.3	14.3	1.04	17.1	15.3	1.81
Derek Fisher	25	24	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	15	-16	14.8	14.2	0.58	18.5	14.5	4.03
Steven Adams	8	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	18	-22	17.4	14.1	3.27	16.7	15.4	1.33
Kendrick Perkins	28	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.20	-10	24	-34	17.2	13.2	3.95	15.2	15.6	-0.36

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Rivers	11	12	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.12	5	-19	24	15.5	15.5	0.07	14.7	14.3	0.43
Josh Childress	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	11.2	15.7	-4.41	20.6	14.0	6.57
Jason Smith	44	47	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.23	7	-21	28	15.9	15.1	0.79	16.1	12.8	3.33
Anthony Morrow	36	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-13	12	16.5	14.8	1.68	14.4	14.3	0.08
Darius Miller	10	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-13	12	17.1	15.3	1.81	15.3	14.3	1.04
Brian Roberts	23	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-12	10	15.3	15.5	-0.17	15.3	14.0	1.28
Lou Amundson	18	17	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-8	2	15.2	15.6	-0.38	13.3	14.6	-1.31
Jeff Withey	15	16	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-8	2	19.3	14.8	4.57	15.7	14.1	1.65
Jrue Holiday	70	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-8	2	14.8	17.3	-2.56	14.1	15.0	-0.85
Al-Farouq Aminu	73	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	0	-14	15.3	16.0	-0.68	14.2	14.8	-0.60
Tyreke Evans	25	26	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-1	-12	16.9	15.0	1.89	12.1	15.2	-3.08
Ryan Anderson	80	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	1	-16	15.2	16.8	-1.60	13.7	17.3	-3.57
Eric Gordon	71	70	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.14	-22	8	-30	14.6	17.8	-3.19	14.1	15.0	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, MIN 85	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
DAL 109, GSW 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
CLE 93, TOR 76	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%