NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	82		Excitement	4.9 [838]		MVP	Jeremy Lamb (OKC): +14.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder	97		Comeback	2.1 [699]		LVP	Trevor Booker (UTA): -14.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.06	13	52%	0.11	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.00	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.03	0.03	9	58%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.05	10	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	14	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	15	55%	0.10	8	-0.16	14	50%	-0.07
Trevor Booker	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.08	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.01	0.02	8	100%	0.21	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	11	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.03	19	51%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	18	61%	0.09	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	5	33%	-0.01	3	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.8	29.0	15.4	24.8	1.7	29.3	124.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +41.4%

UTA -5.4%

OKC +8.9%

OKC +3.5%

OKC +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	OKC	NBA	UTA	OKC	NBA
this game	15.0	15.9	15.1	88.2	104.3	104.2
season	16.2	14.5		103.8	105.7
opponent	15.0	15.3		103.5	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.9	15.9	15.8	14.5	15.0
OKC	16.1	13.5	16.2	18.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	71	71	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-17	19	15.0	15.1	-0.06	16.1	15.5	0.62
Enes Kanter	62	64	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-16	17	14.6	15.9	-1.34	16.7	14.3	2.40
Derrick Favors	69	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-11	7	14.8	15.6	-0.78	16.0	15.6	0.46
Trey Burke	60	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-8	1	15.2	14.8	0.44	16.5	14.9	1.55
Dante Exum	33	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-7	-1	14.8	15.2	-0.44	14.9	16.5	-1.55
Rudy Gobert	24	24	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	-4	-7	15.6	14.8	0.78	15.6	16.0	-0.46
Trevor Booker	31	29	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	1	-17	15.9	14.6	1.34	14.3	16.7	-2.40
Joe Ingles	49	49	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.05	-14	-1	-13	15.0	15.1	-0.05	15.5	16.4	-0.92
Alec Burks	66	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.04	-18	3	-21	15.1	15.0	0.11	16.1	15.5	0.57

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Morrow	62	62	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.09	23	-8	31	15.6	16.6	-0.98	15.1	15.0	0.11
Jeremy Lamb	45	46	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	1	13	15.4	16.4	-0.93	15.3	14.8	0.47
Nick Collison	22	22	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	2	11	14.9	16.3	-1.39	17.2	14.4	2.86
Kendrick Perkins	46	47	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.10	14	1	13	15.9	16.0	-0.07	14.9	15.2	-0.26
Reggie Jackson	63	62	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	11	-7	16.7	14.4	2.25	15.5	14.1	1.37
Sebastian Telfair	27	29	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.08	11	4	7	13.7	16.8	-3.13	13.9	15.6	-1.67
Steven Adams	47	45	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	14	-13	16.0	15.9	0.07	15.5	14.6	0.91
Andre Roberson	50	48	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	14	-13	16.4	15.4	0.94	15.0	15.0	-0.00
Serge Ibaka	68	68	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	13	-11	16.1	15.6	0.50	14.5	16.6	-2.07
Ish Smith	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	20.7	15.8	4.90	11.7	15.2	-3.49
Lance Thomas	32	33	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.10	-8	23	-31	17.0	15.4	1.64	14.3	15.4	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.33,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 73, NYK 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
DAL 84, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.3%
ATL 88, LAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.9,0.94,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,1	94.2%