NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	73		Excitement	4.8 [819]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +9.3%
New York Knicks	85		Comeback	1.6 [791]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -23.9%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harvey Grant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	6	44%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Ben Wallace	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ashraf Amaya	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	9	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Jaren Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	47%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05
Calbert Cheaney	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	27%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Chris Webber	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.03	-0.04	14	51%	-0.03	6	-0.10	11	55%	-0.05
Juwan Howard	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.20	-0.06	-0.04	13	15%	-0.14	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.25	-0.05	-0.05	11	18%	-0.08	7	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.04	-0.05	12	58%	0.12	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	-0.04	12	56%	0.07	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	12	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	39%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.18	-0.04	-0.04	21	34%	-0.06	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.5	21.5	16.4	27.4	2.4	28.5	121.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +22.8%

NYK +15.0%

NYK +11.9%

NYK +2.5%

WAS -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	14.6	15.2	15.6	75.3	88.5	104.4
season	14.8	15.1		104.3	102.0
opponent	16.1	15.8		98.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.4	14.6	15.0	13.5	14.6
NYK	15.2	14.8	15.7	15.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	8.2	15.0	-6.86	14.8	15.3	-0.44
Ashraf Amaya	10	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-17	22	10.1	15.1	-5.01	15.2	15.3	-0.03
Chris Whitney	36	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-14	16	13.4	15.3	-1.97	15.6	15.0	0.53
Tracy Murray	44	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-12	12	13.7	15.3	-1.55	15.4	15.1	0.31
Jaren Jackson	41	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-8	4	14.2	14.9	-0.66	16.2	14.5	1.65
Gheorghe Muresan	58	56	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-5	-2	15.2	13.7	1.56	14.8	15.8	-0.99
Harvey Grant	32	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	0	-12	15.4	14.2	1.21	16.4	14.6	1.84
Calbert Cheaney	47	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	-4	-4	14.8	14.4	0.37	14.6	15.8	-1.19
Chris Webber	74	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	-1	-10	14.8	14.0	0.84	15.3	15.0	0.38
Juwan Howard	67	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	2	-16	15.3	13.1	2.12	14.8	16.2	-1.38
Rod Strickland	70	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	2	-16	15.3	12.7	2.62	14.9	16.1	-1.15

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buck Williams	59	59	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.04	14	-2	16	15.2	15.4	-0.25	14.1	15.4	-1.35
Chris Childs	53	53	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	0	12	15.1	15.4	-0.31	15.3	13.7	1.55
Larry Johnson	61	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	1	10	15.3	15.2	0.12	15.5	13.0	2.50
Patrick Ewing	65	67	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	5	2	14.8	16.3	-1.49	14.3	15.3	-0.97
Allan Houston	65	67	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	10	-8	14.8	16.3	-1.54	13.8	16.3	-2.51
Charles Oakley	60	60	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	9	-6	16.0	14.0	1.96	15.2	13.6	1.67
John Starks	50	49	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	5	2	15.4	15.0	0.40	14.6	14.6	-0.05
John Wallace	24	24	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	8	-4	15.8	15.1	0.72	15.0	14.5	0.59
Charlie Ward	43	44	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	12	-12	15.4	15.1	0.31	13.7	15.3	-1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 97, BKN 122	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
MIL 73, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
BOS 83, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%