NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	81		Excitement	4.9 [827]		MVP	Kendrick Perkins (OKC): +8.2%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	7.2 [310]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (OKC): -16.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendrick Perkins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	7	47%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
Jeremy Lamb	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.02	0.07	15	53%	0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Nick Collison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	50%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	10	29%	-0.00	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Steven Adams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.01	4	-0.07	4	25%	-0.03
Serge Ibaka	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	13	21%	-0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Jackson	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.04	0.03	13	37%	-0.10	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	5	90%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.04	0.07	8	80%	0.14	3	-0.06	9	89%	0.02
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.02	0.02	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.03	17	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	12	45%	0.06	4	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.05	0.04	16	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.04
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	8	12%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	33.2	14.8	25.3	2.4	26.3	128.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +47.9%

OKC -6.2%

UTA +6.8%

UTA +1.9%

OKC -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	UTA	NBA	OKC	UTA	NBA
this game	15.9	15.1	15.1	88.0	104.3	104.2
season	14.5	16.2		105.7	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.0		103.7	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.9	14.9	17.5	15.3	15.9
UTA	15.4	12.8	15.2	17.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Adams	49	53	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.08	-2	-15	13	15.4	16.4	-1.07	16.4	13.4	3.04
Ish Smith	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-17	17	11.7	16.3	-4.66	16.0	15.0	0.99
Jeremy Lamb	69	73	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.11	-4	-13	9	15.6	16.6	-0.93	15.7	13.0	2.71
Serge Ibaka	43	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.13	-10	-7	-3	15.8	15.9	-0.10	14.7	15.5	-0.84
Sebastian Telfair	16	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-13	9	18.3	15.4	2.96	14.6	15.2	-0.68
Reggie Jackson	67	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.09	-13	-4	-9	15.9	15.9	-0.07	15.1	15.0	0.10
Nick Collison	40	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-13	9	16.9	15.1	1.78	15.6	14.7	0.91
Anthony Morrow	64	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	-2	-13	16.2	15.1	1.15	15.0	15.3	-0.33
Kendrick Perkins	43	41	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.08	-15	-2	-13	16.4	15.4	1.07	13.4	16.4	-3.04
Lance Thomas	60	61	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.01	-18	1	-19	15.1	17.2	-2.12	14.5	16.3	-1.80

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	34	35	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.01	23	-6	29	12.8	16.4	-3.58	15.5	16.1	-0.62
Alec Burks	78	75	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.06	20	-3	23	14.3	19.0	-4.69	15.4	18.1	-2.76
Joe Ingles	45	46	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.02	14	3	11	15.7	14.6	1.07	16.5	15.2	1.30
Trey Burke	76	73	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	6	5	14.8	16.4	-1.59	15.6	16.7	-1.09
Trevor Booker	40	40	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	10	-3	16.0	14.4	1.64	17.5	14.6	2.84
Enes Kanter	56	53	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	11	-5	14.5	16.0	-1.54	15.7	16.1	-0.40
Dante Exum	27	28	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.09	8	9	-1	15.9	14.8	1.10	15.9	15.8	0.08
Gordon Hayward	60	58	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	16	-15	15.8	13.9	1.96	15.8	16.0	-0.25
Derrick Favors	48	46	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.05	0	17	-17	16.8	13.3	3.49	15.9	15.8	0.09
Jeremy Evans	6	6	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	22	-27	13.3	15.2	-1.89	13.3	16.0	-2.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.27,0.33,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.98,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 92, NOH 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.31,0.21,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.3%
SAS 92, DEN 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.3,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%
MIL 94, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%