inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 92 Excitement4.4 [956] MVPRoger Mason Jr. (NOH): +11.2%
New Orleans Hornets 104 Comeback6.8 [281] LVPRicky Rubio (MIN): -9.0%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luke Ridnour0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.10-0.030.051265%0.031-0.00786%0.00
Derrick Williams0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.000.01753%0.0300.003100%0.02
Alexey Shved0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.03-0.00-0.041242%0.011-0.002100%0.01
Nikola Pekovic0.000,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.05-0.020.031355%0.041-0.03757%-0.04
Lou Amundson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Stiemsma-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.01250%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.03-0.030.08865%-0.013-0.071080%-0.00
Dante Cunningham-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.011246%0.013-0.092100%0.02
Ricky Rubio-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.01337%-0.014-0.08250%-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.030.01683%0.1100.0000%0.00
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.020.011358%0.0800.0000%0.00
Anthony Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.030.00664%0.081-0.02250%-0.01
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.020.04887%0.093-0.0600%0.00
Robin Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Eric Gordon0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.011646%0.031-0.023100%0.00
Lance Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00-0.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Xavier Henry00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brian Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.01633%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.040.010.06775%0.032-0.042100%0.00
Donald Sloan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Greivis Vasquez0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.020.000.041653%-0.012-0.022100%0.00
Austin Rivers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.0210%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.60.826.214.824.01.730.3122.3
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +49.4%
MIN -17.5%
NOH +9.5%
NOH +7.5%
NOH +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINNOHNBAMINNOHNBA
this game15.515.615.498.9113.0104.1
season15.616.3101.3103.9
opponent15.614.9108.1103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN14.319.316.412.715.5
NOH16.415.014.216.815.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lou Amundson780.02-0.520.540.05-1-111022.615.07.6213.115.8-2.72
Greg Stiemsma2425-0.05-0.450.41-0.050-121216.415.21.2017.614.92.79
Alexey Shved7471-0.19-0.310.13-0.07-4-8415.117.3-2.1815.715.40.30
Luke Ridnour6766-0.22-0.280.06-0.05-6-6015.316.2-0.9215.516.0-0.55
Ricky Rubio3940-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.13-6-6016.614.81.7916.514.91.53
Derrick Williams4848-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.02-120-1215.115.9-0.7915.415.8-0.45
Nikola Pekovic5454-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.14-10-2-816.114.71.3915.415.9-0.58
Andrei Kirilenko7472-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.19-9-3-615.117.0-1.8515.416.4-1.07
Dante Cunningham7876-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.15-120-1214.918.6-3.6615.316.9-1.53

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Roger Mason Jr.40400.54-0.040.58-0.0219-72615.515.7-0.1517.214.32.89
Al-Farouq Aminu59610.53-0.030.570.0915-31814.817.0-2.1215.615.40.18
Greivis Vasquez51530.450.050.410.131111015.016.4-1.4514.516.9-2.45
Robin Lopez50510.450.050.400.131111015.515.8-0.3316.514.32.22
Ryan Anderson50490.440.060.380.15102815.815.40.4214.816.3-1.46
Eric Gordon55570.200.30-0.100.0557-215.116.3-1.1515.116.2-1.18
Jason Smith38390.110.39-0.27-0.0666016.015.40.6215.715.40.37
Lance Thomas25240.060.44-0.380.09-113-1416.815.21.5814.216.0-1.83
Anthony Davis4647-0.000.50-0.500.09-315-1815.316.0-0.7015.016.1-1.11
Austin Rivers98-0.050.55-0.60-0.02-113-1416.615.51.0516.115.50.65
Donald Sloan98-0.050.55-0.60-0.02-113-1416.615.51.0516.115.50.65
Xavier Henry87-0.060.56-0.63-0.01-214-1617.615.42.2121.915.06.85
Brian Roberts2021-0.120.62-0.740.14-921-3017.815.02.8615.115.7-0.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.31,0.21,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 99, NOP 1140.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.36,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,193.4%
OKC 81, UTA 980.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.27,0.33,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.98,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,193.3%
BOS 89, HOU 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.66,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,193.2%