NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	89		Excitement	5.1 [801]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +17.0%
Houston Rockets	99		Comeback	4.9 [153]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -26.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	19	60%	0.14	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Tony Battie	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	0.10	-0.04	0.10	20	68%	0.02	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Erick Strickland	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	5	45%	-0.01	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Kenny Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	13	46%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.05	-0.02	26	65%	0.23	4	-0.06	10	100%	0.03
Kelvin Cato	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.03	7	87%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Terence Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	7	69%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.01	-0.06	13	40%	-0.01	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	4	45%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.27	-0.05	-0.06	15	31%	-0.10	7	-0.16	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	3.5	26.4	16.3	23.5	1.7	29.3	124.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +8.8%

HOU +15.0%

HOU +25.9%

BOS -1.8%

HOU +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	HOU	NBA	BOS	HOU	NBA
this game	13.7	17.6	15.6	95.7	108.8	102.3
season	15.0	16.8		100.9	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.7		106.4	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	11.2	13.7	15.9	14.5	13.7
HOU	18.3	15.1	16.9	20.8	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	46	44	0.30	-0.80	1.10	-0.14	15	-25	40	12.8	14.6	-1.79	18.2	17.0	1.18
Tony Battie	53	51	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.18	5	-15	20	13.0	14.7	-1.79	19.9	14.7	5.11
Rodney Rogers	15	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.21	-12	2	-14	12.0	14.1	-2.06	14.3	18.3	-3.93
Kenny Anderson	41	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-12	14	14.9	12.8	2.01	19.2	16.2	3.01
Antoine Walker	78	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.42	2	-12	14	14.1	12.0	2.06	18.3	14.3	3.93
Erick Strickland	68	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	5	-20	13.0	15.7	-2.67	17.4	18.1	-0.65
Vitaly Potapenko	40	40	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.03	-15	5	-20	14.7	13.0	1.79	14.7	19.9	-5.11
Paul Pierce	82	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.18	-10	0	-10	13.6	14.5	-0.82	17.3	19.7	-2.40
Eric Williams	42	43	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.01	-22	12	-34	15.0	12.7	2.27	16.2	18.9	-2.62

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	76	79	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.31	6	4	2	18.2	14.6	3.61	14.0	12.2	1.79
Steve Francis	72	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	-4	18	17.4	18.3	-0.89	13.8	13.3	0.55
Kenny Thomas	77	79	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.20	8	2	6	17.5	18.4	-0.88	13.8	13.6	0.19
Moochie Norris	54	56	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	-4	18	17.4	17.9	-0.51	13.4	14.3	-0.94
Kelvin Cato	74	77	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	8	-6	18.2	14.9	3.36	13.9	13.1	0.81
Terence Morris	61	63	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.34	-1	11	-12	18.0	16.7	1.32	14.4	12.4	1.97
Jason Collier	17	16	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.11	8	2	6	14.9	18.2	-3.36	13.1	13.9	-0.81
Dan Langhi	21	20	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.15	6	4	2	15.0	18.4	-3.40	11.8	14.2	-2.40
Tierre Brown	3	2	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	17	-24	23.7	17.4	6.26	7.0	13.9	-6.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.66,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 92, NOH 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.31,0.21,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.2%
CHI 77, GSW 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.68,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.98,1,1	93.0%
MEM 116, SEA 122	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.77,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.7%