NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Excitement	5.3 [783]		MVP	Dante Cunningham (NOP): +11.6%
New Orleans Pelicans	114		Comeback	4.4 [524]		LVP	Kevin Martin (MIN): -16.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Shabazz Muhammad	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	10	54%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.01	0.08	7	83%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Gorgui Dieng	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	4	80%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	17	48%	0.01	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.02
Andre Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Zach LaVine	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.05	0.04	17	51%	0.04	5	-0.17	5	100%	0.02
Kevin Martin	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.05	0.04	6	92%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.20	-0.00	0.09	22	65%	0.11	0	0.00	10	80%	0.02
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	9	61%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.01	0.05	14	59%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	57%	0.09	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	54%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	6	44%	0.02	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	36.3	14.8	30.0	2.4	25.6	136.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +37.1%

NOP +3.1%

NOP +3.7%

NOP +5.5%

NOP +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NOP	NBA	MIN	NOP	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	14.9	102.1	120.0	105.1
season	14.8	14.3		104.8	104.3
opponent	15.0	15.0		107.9	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.5	16.2	13.2	15.1	14.5
NOP	14.8	13.8	16.8	17.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	0	1	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-17	19	0.0	14.5	-14.47	4.0	15.7	-11.66
Adreian Payne	13	12	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-19	23	15.5	14.3	1.14	16.1	15.5	0.63
Karl-Anthony Towns	63	64	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-20	25	14.3	14.8	-0.49	16.0	14.5	1.47
Kevin Garnett	30	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-15	15	14.7	14.4	0.38	16.1	15.3	0.79
Andrew Wiggins	66	67	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-17	19	14.9	13.5	1.46	15.9	14.6	1.37
Tayshaun Prince	54	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	-9	3	14.2	14.8	-0.57	16.9	13.9	3.02
Ricky Rubio	60	57	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-12	9	14.6	14.2	0.46	16.5	14.1	2.34
Zach LaVine	37	37	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.00	-14	-1	-13	14.2	14.6	-0.46	14.4	16.3	-1.85
Kevin Martin	31	28	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	2	-19	13.5	14.9	-1.46	14.6	15.9	-1.37
Shabazz Muhammad	57	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	-1	-13	14.4	14.5	-0.13	14.9	16.4	-1.53
Nemanja Bjelica	34	33	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	1	-17	14.8	14.3	0.54	14.5	16.1	-1.66
Gorgui Dieng	40	36	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.05	-18	3	-21	14.3	14.6	-0.21	14.0	16.5	-2.43

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	54	55	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.02	17	-2	19	15.0	16.2	-1.20	14.4	14.6	-0.21
Norris Cole	44	46	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.13	20	-5	25	15.0	16.0	-0.96	15.2	13.8	1.41
Dante Cunningham	46	46	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	5	5	16.0	15.1	0.86	14.9	14.1	0.79
Alexis Ajinca	30	30	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.07	13	2	11	15.1	15.7	-0.59	14.9	14.3	0.62
Alonzo Gee	61	61	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	7	1	14.9	16.6	-1.68	14.1	15.0	-0.88
Ryan Anderson	52	53	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	6	3	15.6	15.5	0.13	15.1	13.7	1.37
Anthony Davis	71	74	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	7	1	15.9	14.4	1.55	14.8	13.3	1.48
Omer Asik	25	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	18	-21	15.4	15.6	-0.13	11.9	15.5	-3.63
Eric Gordon	51	51	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.19	-5	20	-25	16.0	15.0	0.96	13.8	15.2	-1.41
Tyreke Evans	41	42	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	17	-19	16.2	15.0	1.20	14.6	14.4	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.36,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 72, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.87,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
BKN 93, GSW 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%
SEA 83, HOU 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.16,0.23,0.28,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.59,0.53,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%