inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 78 Excitement6.2 [568] MVPO.J. Mayo (MIL): +14.0%
Milwaukee Bucks 85 Comeback2.4 [575] LVPJeremy Lamb (OKC): -21.2%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Jackson0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.050.11-0.020.042164%0.133-0.073100%0.01
Anthony Morrow0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.020.00762%0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Kendrick Perkins0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00470%0.041-0.02250%-0.02
Ish Smith-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03-0.06-0.01-0.04625%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Nick Collison-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Sebastian Telfair-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.01617%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.090,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09-0.04-0.030.021347%-0.013-0.084100%0.02
Steven Adams-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.03-0.01417%-0.071-0.02450%-0.03
Lance Thomas-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.130.00-0.021023%-0.072-0.03250%-0.01
Jeremy Lamb-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.18,-0.2,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.18-0.05-0.011321%-0.123-0.092100%0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.040.06-0.031551%0.1400.00771%-0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.010.02-0.031347%0.071-0.03450%-0.03
Jared Dudley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.01-0.06633%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.01375%0.081-0.042100%0.01
John Henson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.01233%0.001-0.022100%0.02
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01750%0.042-0.052100%0.02
Jabari Parker0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.010.01740%0.001-0.0210%-0.02
Nate Wolters0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.02-0.00743%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Brandon Knight0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.11-0.020.011547%-0.016-0.12475%-0.00
Larry Sanders0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.11-0.060.02629%-0.093-0.0920%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.12.531.715.728.72.635.2139.5
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +36.5%
MIL +6.4%
MIL +11.1%
OKC -3.1%
OKC -0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCMILNBAOKCMILNBA
this game16.314.915.184.891.4104.2
season14.514.5105.7100.5
opponent15.715.0101.0103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.617.616.216.916.3
MIL14.216.012.617.414.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lance Thomas51510.05-0.550.60-0.074-111516.416.10.2914.914.90.00
Kendrick Perkins3939-0.06-0.440.38-0.00-2-5316.815.81.0215.714.31.48
Anthony Morrow2829-0.11-0.390.28-0.110-7715.916.4-0.4813.515.5-2.03
Ish Smith1617-0.16-0.340.19-0.07-3-4115.416.4-1.0715.714.71.01
Steven Adams5050-0.25-0.250.01-0.250-7715.816.8-1.0114.115.8-1.65
Nick Collison2828-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.11-81-917.415.71.6815.214.80.42
Serge Ibaka6769-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.23-4-3-115.817.6-1.7814.815.0-0.22
Jeremy Lamb6869-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.30-4-3-115.917.2-1.2814.914.80.07
Reggie Jackson8181-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.21-70-716.514.51.9515.510.64.94
Sebastian Telfair3232-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.12-114-1516.915.90.9914.115.3-1.25

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerryd Bayless39400.58-0.080.660.2312-51715.414.50.9516.216.3-0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo50480.54-0.040.570.2410-31314.315.6-1.3017.215.21.98
Zaza Pachulia42420.480.020.460.1013-61915.414.50.9116.516.00.53
Nate Wolters32330.450.050.40-0.0216-92516.114.21.8517.915.32.62
O.J. Mayo55550.420.080.340.3334-115.214.40.8216.416.00.39
Jared Dudley38370.080.42-0.34-0.0443114.415.2-0.8216.016.4-0.39
Larry Sanders44440.080.42-0.340.17-310-1314.515.2-0.6816.216.4-0.20
John Henson12120.050.45-0.400.08-18-911.215.4-4.2713.816.6-2.79
Ersan Ilyasova45440.020.48-0.460.14-411-1515.314.50.7515.816.7-0.94
Brandon Knight6764-0.020.52-0.540.24-916-2515.014.60.4215.717.5-1.83
Jabari Parker4141-0.170.67-0.840.01-613-1914.515.2-0.7015.716.7-0.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 95, DEN 1090.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.62,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,194.5%
ORL 105, OKC 1120.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.78,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,194.4%
CHI 83, IND 1000.5,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.59,0.74,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.91,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,194.0%