NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	105		Excitement	6.5 [558]		MVP	Patrick Patterson (OKC): +17.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	112		Comeback	2.8 [906]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -23.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathon Simmons	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	7	79%	0.14	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.02
Rashad Vaughn	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	4	54%	0.05	1	-0.04	5	20%	-0.07
Evan Fournier	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0	0.06	-0.04	0.02	15	59%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	83%	0.07	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.04	-0.04	20	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Mario Hezonja	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	22%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.09	0.02	13	58%	0.01	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	-0.00	4	122%	0.19	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	0.00	7	93%	0.22	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.04	-0.03	10	55%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	7	62%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Josh Huestis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.02	20	55%	0.08	2	-0.06	7	86%	-0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	73%	0.08	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	15	30%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.21,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.21	-0.07	-0.04	12	31%	-0.06	7	-0.18	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	26.5	14.7	26.5	2.3	29.4	124.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +35.0%

OKC +5.6%

OKC +14.8%

ORL -6.4%

OKC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	OKC	NBA	ORL	OKC	NBA
this game	14.9	13.8	14.7	105.0	110.9	107.5
season	14.6	14.2		104.2	109.4
opponent	15.3	14.5		106.1	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.5	15.6	16.0	14.4	14.9
OKC	15.8	13.2	12.2	13.9	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gordon	71	73	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.20	9	-16	25	14.4	16.1	-1.77	13.2	15.3	-2.13
Nikola Vucevic	71	72	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.22	6	-13	19	14.2	16.6	-2.35	13.1	15.4	-2.29
Jonathon Simmons	77	79	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-12	17	14.1	17.5	-3.37	13.3	15.6	-2.31
Rashad Vaughn	19	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-2	-3	17.0	14.4	2.62	15.6	13.4	2.23
Wes Iwundu	24	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	0	-7	16.5	14.4	2.13	15.7	13.2	2.48
D.J. Augustin	70	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.30	1	-8	9	14.8	15.2	-0.41	13.3	15.0	-1.64
Evan Fournier	75	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-7	7	14.3	16.7	-2.40	13.3	15.4	-2.09
Bismack Biyombo	29	29	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.07	-13	6	-19	16.6	14.2	2.35	15.4	13.1	2.29
Shelvin Mack	34	32	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.04	-15	8	-23	15.7	14.5	1.25	15.0	13.2	1.83
Mario Hezonja	30	29	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.09	-16	9	-25	16.3	14.3	2.03	15.1	13.3	1.81

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	33	33	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	-5	17	15.1	13.2	1.90	16.1	14.3	1.76
Patrick Patterson	33	31	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	-5	17	15.4	13.0	2.35	16.1	14.3	1.76
Raymond Felton	24	24	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	-5	17	15.7	13.2	2.53	16.5	14.4	2.13
Alex Abrines	45	45	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.12	8	-1	9	13.6	13.9	-0.37	15.1	14.7	0.34
Paul George	79	79	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	5	-3	13.1	16.1	-2.95	14.3	17.1	-2.86
Terrance Ferguson	27	28	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	4	-1	14.3	13.6	0.75	15.3	14.7	0.56
Steven Adams	75	73	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	9	-11	13.2	15.5	-2.31	14.4	16.3	-1.94
Josh Huestis	43	41	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	9	-11	14.8	13.0	1.76	15.7	14.3	1.32
Russell Westbrook	77	76	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.18	-5	12	-17	13.2	15.7	-2.53	14.4	16.5	-2.13
Carmelo Anthony	69	70	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.17	-5	12	-17	13.1	15.3	-2.19	14.3	16.3	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.78,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 83, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.59,0.74,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.91,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.0%
DEN 75, MIL 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
OKC 78, MIL 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1	94.4%