inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Philadelphia 76ers 100 Excitement4.8 [870] MVPHenry Sims (PHI): +9.6%
Miami Heat 87 Comeback2.1 [250] LVPTony Wroten (PHI): -12.8%


Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Henry Sims0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.030.03-0.04762%0.112-0.012100%0.01
Casper Ware0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.00-0.005100%0.101-0.0100%0.00
James Anderson0.070,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.09-0.010.01583%0.0700.002100%0.01
Jarvis Varnado0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01567%0.0500.002100%0.01
Adonis Thomas0.020,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Brandon Davies0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.07-0.000.04679%0.051-0.032100%0.00
Elliot Williams0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.01756%0.031-0.02250%-0.02
Thaddeus Young-0.010,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.011756%0.063-0.072100%0.01
Michael Carter-Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.021050%0.043-0.06475%0.01
Hollis Thompson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00437%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Tony Wroten-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.15-0.01-0.04633%-0.026-0.1100%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.00480%0.071-0.022100%0.01
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.01-0.01856%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.00-0.00675%0.093-0.0700%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.01950%0.001-0.03450%-0.01
Greg Oden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01233%0.001-0.032100%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.030.01470%0.032-0.07250%-0.01
Toney Douglas0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.03-0.011441%-0.022-0.054100%0.01
Justin Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.030.02650%-0.022-0.052100%0.01
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.010.01642%-0.023-0.0600%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.050.011447%-0.023-0.09667%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.02.630.716.029.02.630.2137.0
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHI +31.1%
PHI +2.9%
MIA -7.9%
PHI +21.9%
PHI +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHIMIANBAPHIMIANBA
this game14.416.315.1106.492.6105.2
season13.715.698.4109.7
opponent15.815.0105.1108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHI13.613.214.316.514.4
MIA15.816.816.316.216.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Casper Ware29280.410.090.32-0.0315-21713.914.6-0.7216.216.3-0.14
Brandon Davies38380.340.160.18-0.1316-31913.914.7-0.8316.416.20.24
Elliot Williams44420.340.160.170.04103715.013.81.2415.716.7-0.97
Tony Wroten44450.320.180.150.0694514.014.6-0.5916.316.30.02
Jarvis Varnado30270.270.230.04-0.111301315.114.01.0816.616.20.39
Henry Sims62640.230.27-0.040.32-316-1914.114.8-0.6416.016.8-0.82
James Anderson38390.200.30-0.090.0367-112.415.7-3.2616.715.90.80
Thaddeus Young58590.160.34-0.180.16013-1314.514.10.4516.316.20.17
Michael Carter-Williams65660.090.41-0.320.15-215-1714.613.90.7216.316.20.14
Hollis Thompson52530.090.41-0.330.09013-1315.313.22.0715.916.7-0.81
Adonis Thomas1090.050.45-0.400.02112-1115.414.21.1618.816.02.77

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Justin Hamilton3434-0.05-0.450.40-0.081-141516.616.10.5314.514.30.22
Dwyane Wade4747-0.15-0.350.21-0.03-4-9516.416.10.2613.615.1-1.49
James Jones6766-0.21-0.290.09-0.241-141516.416.10.2814.713.70.97
Udonis Haslem3232-0.21-0.290.07-0.10-4-9516.516.20.2914.014.5-0.55
Greg Oden2828-0.24-0.260.030.06-10-3-715.616.5-0.9014.614.30.35
Ray Allen4647-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.13-4-9515.617.0-1.3914.913.81.11
Toney Douglas5555-0.28-0.22-0.060.04-11-2-916.116.5-0.4015.013.41.63
Shane Battier7778-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.17-5-8315.918.1-2.1814.613.31.26
Michael Beasley3130-0.36-0.14-0.220.11-163-1917.415.71.6611.915.5-3.62
Norris Cole5353-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.06-130-1316.815.61.1414.514.10.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.19,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.13,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 103, WAS 930.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,094.8%
OKC 104, UTA 940.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,094.4%
ORL 103, BOS 950.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,094.3%