inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 103 Excitement4.5 [943] MVPKyrie Irving (BOS): +18.3%
Boston Celtics 95 Comeback1.6 [169] LVPAl Horford (BOS): -9.2%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
D.J. Augustin0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.050.01-0.05667%0.121-0.003100%0.02
Evan Fournier0.090,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.090.000.03-0.051950%0.132-0.0500%0.00
Elfrid Payton0.070,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.011658%0.091-0.02667%0.00
Shelvin Mack0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.00-0.00862%0.0600.0000%0.00
Marreese Speights0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00383%0.0500.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.011100%0.0400.002100%0.01
Wes Iwundu-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01250%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Mario Hezonja-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.03650%-0.0100.0020%-0.03
Khem Birch-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02729%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jonathon Simmons-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00760%0.063-0.081100%0.00
Aaron Gordon-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.13-0.01-0.071731%-0.052-0.03250%-0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyrie Irving0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.28-0.010.092374%0.211-0.03887%0.01
Daniel Theis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.01-0.00367%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Shane Larkin00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcus Morris0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.010.01955%0.031-0.034100%0.02
Jaylen Brown0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.020.021265%0.064-0.082100%0.01
Semi Ojeleye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Terry Rozier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.13-0.01-0.06911%-0.061-0.0100%0.00
Marcus Smart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.100.00-0.02333%-0.014-0.0600%0.00
Jayson Tatum0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.020.011141%-0.042-0.0400%0.00
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.040.041141%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.426.615.323.61.726.2120.2
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +45.5%
BOS -3.6%
BOS -2.9%
ORL +11.1%
BOS -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLBOSNBAORLBOSNBA
this game16.214.414.7108.4102.2107.5
season14.615.1104.2106.4
opponent14.714.5103.5109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.318.814.617.516.2
BOS13.416.216.112.514.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Gordon77750.390.110.270.2744015.618.6-3.0014.016.4-2.42
Shelvin Mack48470.360.140.220.0710-21216.615.70.9014.014.9-0.98
Elfrid Payton68670.310.190.130.1462416.415.70.6114.314.8-0.46
Evan Fournier70690.260.240.030.2608-816.016.6-0.5214.315.0-0.70
Marreese Speights15130.250.250.00-0.0711-31414.516.5-1.9517.513.93.60
Wes Iwundu21190.240.26-0.010.0471615.916.3-0.3515.214.20.97
Bismack Biyombo41420.180.32-0.130.0162415.416.7-1.3015.014.01.02
D.J. Augustin28260.180.32-0.140.1808-815.316.6-1.2714.814.30.46
Jonathon Simmons50510.140.36-0.220.1117-616.316.00.3014.814.00.89
Mario Hezonja23230.110.39-0.290.0817-617.815.72.1215.314.21.15
Khem Birch34330.070.43-0.350.25-614-2018.015.22.8413.015.2-2.28

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Morris4951-0.14-0.360.22-0.202-101215.813.02.8215.916.5-0.60
Aron Baynes1110-0.15-0.350.200.06-7-1-614.514.40.0214.616.4-1.76
Al Horford6266-0.18-0.320.14-0.273-111414.713.90.8515.916.9-1.03
Shane Larkin1313-0.20-0.300.110.10-102-1214.414.4-0.0718.015.92.11
Marcus Smart3739-0.23-0.270.050.10-113-1413.515.1-1.5417.315.41.83
Kyrie Irving7979-0.24-0.260.03-0.416-142014.414.6-0.2416.415.21.12
Terry Rozier3940-0.24-0.260.02-0.18-2-6414.114.7-0.5816.615.90.68
Jaylen Brown7474-0.25-0.250.00-0.312-101214.115.8-1.6915.717.7-1.97
Daniel Theis2122-0.27-0.23-0.030.03-102-1213.414.7-1.3717.515.81.66
Semi Ojeleye2019-0.30-0.20-0.100.17-168-2414.314.5-0.1215.316.4-1.14
Jayson Tatum6062-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.413-111414.713.90.8215.816.9-1.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 94, DAL 820.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.2%
MIL 109, NYK 950.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.2%
HOU 113, DAL 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.38,0.48,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.9%