NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	113		Excitement	4.2 [962]		MVP	Devean George (DAL): +16.6%
Dallas Mavericks	98		Comeback	1.4 [576]		LVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): -7.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rafer Alston	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.02	21	55%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.01	0.03	23	61%	0.14	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.00
Carl Landry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.03	9	65%	0.08	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.04
Shane Battier	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	56%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	10	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.05	4	125%	0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Bobby Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.09	-0.03	6	67%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	3	37%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	70%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	15	49%	0.06	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.02	19	48%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Brandon Bass	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.02	9	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	0.05	8	52%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	6	58%	0.05	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	3.5	31.3	18.4	29.5	3.4	29.6	142.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +32.2%

DAL -4.8%

HOU +5.4%

HOU +17.7%

DAL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.7	15.4	124.2	107.7	105.7
season	16.2	16.1		104.6	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.2		105.0	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.0	16.3	15.1	16.4	15.9
DAL	18.3	16.5	13.7	14.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	77	78	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.17	24	-9	33	15.6	17.9	-2.30	16.2	12.8	3.46
Luis Scola	62	59	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	4	7	16.2	15.3	0.93	16.4	14.5	1.91
Rafer Alston	67	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	4	7	16.0	15.7	0.28	16.2	14.3	1.91
Shane Battier	78	76	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	3	9	16.4	13.2	3.22	16.0	14.4	1.60
Dikembe Mutombo	37	36	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	8	-1	16.2	15.7	0.51	16.3	15.3	0.99
Carl Landry	44	46	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.24	16	-1	17	16.0	15.8	0.21	15.5	16.0	-0.57
Charles Hayes	23	24	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.18	-2	17	-19	15.2	16.2	-0.99	14.8	16.1	-1.23
Bobby Jackson	34	33	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	11	-7	16.8	15.4	1.36	15.8	15.7	0.13
Steve Novak	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	12.7	16.1	-3.31	9.6	16.1	-6.49
Aaron Brooks	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	12.7	16.1	-3.31	9.6	16.1	-6.49
Bobby Jones	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	12.7	16.1	-3.31	9.6	16.1	-6.49
Luther Head	21	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	17	-19	14.9	16.2	-1.37	14.3	16.2	-1.82

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Wright	10	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-22	29	13.4	16.0	-2.62	14.0	16.1	-2.12
Jose Juan Barea	12	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-22	29	14.0	16.0	-2.00	15.3	16.0	-0.73
Juwan Howard	24	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.16	5	-20	25	13.9	16.4	-2.47	16.0	15.9	0.06
Malik Allen	24	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-16	17	15.1	16.0	-0.83	15.7	16.0	-0.22
Devean George	35	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-10	5	13.9	16.9	-2.91	14.9	16.6	-1.69
Jerry Stackhouse	46	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.19	-16	1	-17	15.7	15.8	-0.04	15.6	16.2	-0.61
Brandon Bass	54	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.10	-13	-2	-11	16.4	14.7	1.74	15.5	16.5	-0.97
Jason Kidd	55	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	-2	-11	15.6	15.9	-0.25	16.8	14.5	2.27
Jason Terry	65	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.16	-18	3	-21	16.4	14.0	2.38	16.0	15.8	0.16
Josh Howard	75	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	-1	-13	16.5	12.1	4.38	16.3	14.2	2.13
Erick Dampier	55	53	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	1	-17	16.3	14.9	1.45	16.2	15.4	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.38,0.48,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 109, NYK 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
DET 94, DAL 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
UTA 98, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.3%