NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	98		Excitement	4.6 [889]		MVP	John Starks (UTA): +7.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	91		Comeback	1.1 [363]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -17.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	57%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	6	61%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	100%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	15	47%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.04	-0.03	11	44%	0.03	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Rusty LaRue	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	21	52%	-0.01	2	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	4	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Matt Harpring	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	11	54%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	6	37%	-0.03	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	0.01	27	47%	-0.10	3	-0.08	19	84%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	27.8	15.0	28.3	2.4	32.5	133.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +31.5%

PHI -10.2%

UTA +20.5%

UTA +10.6%

PHI -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHI	NBA	UTA	PHI	NBA
this game	18.1	14.6	15.6	110.1	104.6	102.3
season	16.1	15.9		102.9	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.1		98.2	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.8	19.8	16.7	16.8	18.1
PHI	13.8	19.1	15.3	11.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	77	75	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.12	17	-10	27	18.6	14.6	4.07	15.2	10.9	4.26
Karl Malone	77	77	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	0	7	18.0	18.8	-0.85	13.9	19.6	-5.66
John Stockton	50	49	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.19	6	1	5	18.4	17.7	0.73	13.7	15.7	-2.04
Jarron Collins	47	45	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	-3	13	17.1	19.2	-2.11	14.4	14.8	-0.39
Andrei Kirilenko	44	44	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.10	8	-1	9	18.2	18.0	0.11	14.6	14.6	-0.04
Rusty LaRue	29	30	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	1	5	19.5	17.4	2.10	16.3	13.7	2.56
Greg Ostertag	38	38	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	10	-13	19.7	16.9	2.76	15.5	13.9	1.62
Scott Padgett	19	18	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	8	-9	18.3	18.1	0.21	15.1	14.4	0.66
John Starks	54	51	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.33	-10	17	-27	17.1	19.6	-2.47	14.0	15.4	-1.37
DeShawn Stevenson	10	8	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	12	-17	12.4	18.8	-6.42	13.7	14.7	-0.92

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	3	3	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-5	3	17.7	14.5	3.19	26.0	17.8	8.17
Raja Bell	21	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-11	15	13.0	15.1	-2.15	15.2	19.0	-3.75
Derrick McKey	10	9	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-1	-5	17.3	14.2	3.07	20.6	17.8	2.73
Speedy Claxton	37	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.23	1	-8	9	12.2	16.3	-4.12	17.2	18.8	-1.65
Corie Blount	33	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.00	-9	2	-11	15.2	14.2	0.96	16.0	19.4	-3.35
Dikembe Mutombo	60	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.23	-2	-5	3	15.5	12.5	3.00	19.8	14.8	4.93
Matt Harpring	51	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	0	-7	15.3	13.6	1.66	17.8	18.6	-0.79
Allen Iverson	82	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-6	5	14.4	17.2	-2.77	17.7	23.0	-5.25
Eric Snow	65	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	3	-13	15.1	13.1	2.00	18.8	15.5	3.29
Derrick Coleman	73	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.34	-3	-4	1	14.0	17.8	-3.81	18.3	16.9	1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 105, ATL 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.24,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
SAS 95, MIA 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
HOU 113, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.38,0.48,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%