inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 105 Excitement4.5 [927] MVPLou Williams (TOR): +21.5%
Atlanta Hawks 80 Comeback1.2 [435] LVPPaul Millsap (ATL): -15.7%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lou Williams0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.010.021487%0.2210.00250%-0.01
James Johnson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.06-0.000.01478%0.0500.001100%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0.050,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.011662%0.123-0.072100%0.01
Tyler Hansbrough0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.02250%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Greg Stiemsma0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Landry Fields0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry-0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.020.001048%0.052-0.051100%0.01
Charles Hayes-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.020.06961%-0.002-0.0600%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.02-0.031331%-0.0710.0000%0.00
Patrick Patterson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.080.00-0.010.07844%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Terrence Ross-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.02819%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Greivis Vasquez-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.010.011035%-0.042-0.0600%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.01-0.04759%0.102-0.03367%-0.01
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Jenkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.0730%0.0010.0000%0.00
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.050.000.05675%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.10-0.00-0.071118%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Al Horford0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.01939%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.00946%-0.023-0.04683%0.01
Pero Antic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.010.01442%-0.022-0.05475%-0.01
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.010.05667%0.003-0.0800%0.00
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.030.01450%-0.012-0.0700%0.00
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.05-0.001337%-0.072-0.05475%-0.01
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.14-0.03-0.011532%-0.074-0.08425%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.31.629.216.424.41.822.3119.1
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +32.8%
TOR +2.0%
ATL -5.1%
TOR +19.6%
TOR +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORATLNBATORATLNBA
this game14.614.315.1105.080.8104.2
season15.614.9109.1106.7
opponent15.415.0101.8106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.413.712.817.214.6
ATL13.414.013.916.314.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Lowry53540.470.030.44-0.091961313.915.4-1.4614.314.30.00
James Johnson43430.420.080.35-0.05169713.815.3-1.5112.815.5-2.65
Amir Johnson56550.400.100.30-0.332502514.514.8-0.3013.914.9-0.99
DeMar DeRozan62620.390.110.29-0.07169713.716.1-2.4213.016.5-3.43
Jonas Valanciunas51510.310.190.12-0.131510514.614.7-0.0514.713.90.73
Lou Williams50480.220.28-0.06-0.462322114.115.2-1.1415.413.32.06
Patrick Patterson47470.180.32-0.15-0.261510513.715.4-1.7115.013.71.23
Terrence Ross45430.080.42-0.34-0.18916-715.414.01.4815.413.42.00
Charles Hayes11100.070.43-0.36-0.13718-1113.014.8-1.8315.514.21.32
Tyler Hansbrough22230.040.46-0.410.22-631-3717.513.83.6814.314.30.05
Greg Stiemsma440.000.50-0.500.21-732-3922.014.37.6814.014.3-0.33
Landry Fields770.000.50-0.500.23-833-4121.314.17.1614.014.3-0.34
Greivis Vasquez4948-0.090.59-0.68-0.12124-2315.713.62.0914.514.10.44

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Muscala1415-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-272915.114.20.9717.714.13.57
John Jenkins1415-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-272915.114.20.9717.714.13.57
Pero Antic2121-0.01-0.490.480.02-1-242313.214.6-1.3613.714.9-1.22
Shelvin Mack2326-0.02-0.480.470.04-2-232114.314.30.0516.514.02.58
Mike Scott4144-0.13-0.370.240.13-9-16715.913.22.7115.514.01.51
Kent Bazemore4139-0.14-0.360.230.19-11-14314.214.4-0.1614.914.40.52
Dennis Schroder4241-0.17-0.330.170.18-12-13115.713.32.4716.613.33.31
DeMarre Carroll6260-0.29-0.21-0.070.15-15-10-513.914.9-1.0113.815.9-2.16
Jeff Teague5759-0.33-0.17-0.170.05-13-12-113.315.7-2.4713.316.6-3.31
Paul Millsap6364-0.39-0.11-0.280.20-20-5-1514.014.9-0.8614.015.8-1.79
Al Horford5956-0.47-0.03-0.440.17-22-3-1913.715.2-1.4514.215.1-0.86
Kyle Korver5860-0.560.06-0.620.14-24-1-2314.614.00.6213.716.0-2.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.24,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 98, PHI 910.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,095.9%
SAS 103, LAL 910.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,095.7%
MEM 116, MIN 940.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%