NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	97		Excitement	7.0 [416]		MVP	David West (IND): +20.8%
Indiana Pacers	102		Comeback	1.4 [714]		LVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): -20.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.16	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.19,0.16	0.18	0.01	0.02	27	59%	0.19	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.06
Caron Butler	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	-0.00	10	65%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	23	41%	0.08	4	-0.13	5	80%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	0.06	11	46%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.13	0.02	11	81%	0.30	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.02
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.00	4	92%	0.18	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Paul George	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.13	0.02	17	51%	0.19	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12	0.12	0.12	-0.00	-0.01	10	77%	0.21	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	77%	0.13	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.18	-0.03	-0.01	9	0%	-0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.1	3.5	29.3	17.6	27.2	2.8	43.4	155.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +56.2%

OKC -2.8%

IND +30.2%

OKC -37.1%

IND +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	IND	NBA	OKC	IND	NBA
this game	14.3	16.4	15.1	100.0	112.1	105.2
season	14.4	15.8		107.8	102.7
opponent	15.2	15.4		99.0	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.0	14.2	17.9	11.8	14.3
IND	15.4	15.9	17.2	17.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	64	60	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-9	13	13.7	15.5	-1.84	15.2	18.6	-3.35
Derek Fisher	30	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-1	-3	14.4	14.3	0.05	16.7	16.2	0.54
Steven Adams	27	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	0	-5	15.1	14.0	1.03	15.5	16.7	-1.13
Serge Ibaka	65	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-7	9	13.8	15.4	-1.56	16.3	16.6	-0.34
Thabo Sefolosha	42	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.29	2	-7	9	13.8	14.8	-1.00	17.3	15.7	1.63
Reggie Jackson	30	27	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.01	-9	4	-13	16.1	13.6	2.51	15.6	16.7	-1.06
Russell Westbrook	67	64	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.37	4	-9	13	13.6	16.1	-2.51	16.7	15.6	1.06
Nick Collison	32	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	2	-9	15.4	13.8	1.56	16.6	16.3	0.34
Kevin Durant	86	80	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.39	3	-8	11	14.2	15.5	-1.27	16.2	17.5	-1.23
Kendrick Perkins	42	40	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.23	-15	10	-25	15.6	13.3	2.32	17.7	15.3	2.37

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	52	54	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.36	7	-2	9	16.2	16.6	-0.38	14.5	14.1	0.43
CJ Watson	49	52	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.29	9	-4	13	15.5	17.4	-1.96	14.4	14.3	0.12
Lance Stephenson	80	83	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	-1	7	16.1	18.3	-2.16	14.6	12.8	1.80
Paul George	67	73	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.46	-2	7	-9	16.8	15.1	1.70	13.7	16.2	-2.44
David West	61	66	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.22	4	1	3	16.3	16.6	-0.29	14.7	13.6	1.10
Luis Scola	30	31	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	4	-3	16.6	16.3	0.29	13.6	14.7	-1.10
Evan Turner	35	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	-1	7	16.1	16.5	-0.42	14.9	13.9	0.97
George Hill	44	48	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	9	-13	16.7	16.1	0.55	13.7	15.0	-1.31
Ian Mahinmi	37	40	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	7	-9	17.5	15.6	1.83	14.8	14.0	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.72,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 79, SAS 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.87,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.74,1	93.7%
TOR 111, NJN 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.63,0.77,0.91,1	93.6%
PHI 78, DET 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.99,1	93.3%