NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	79		Excitement	7.9 [292]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +30.9%
San Antonio Spurs	80		Comeback	1.6 [780]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -60.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Brunson	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.11	0.01	6	57%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Zeljko Rebraca	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01	-0.04	0.05	0.02	7	53%	0.04	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.09
Quinton Ross	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	19	46%	-0.07	2	-0.05	8	62%	0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.28,-0.28	-0.06	-0.21	0.01	16	54%	0.05	5	-0.33	5	100%	0.05
Elton Brand	-0.61	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.61	-0.18	-0.42	0.01	18	31%	-0.57	1	-0.04	9	67%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0.31	0.31	0.06	0.27	0.02	18	64%	0.39	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	7	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	10	48%	0.06	3	-0.13	7	100%	0.10
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	6	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.29	-0.29	-0.08	-0.19	0.02	16	34%	-0.29	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.3	28.1	16.8	29.0	1.8	36.2	137.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +59.1%

LAC -14.3%

LAC -22.4%

SAS +25.3%

SAS +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAS	NBA	LAC	SAS	NBA
this game	17.5	15.8	15.5	91.9	92.0	104.0
season	16.0	16.3		103.0	105.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		98.4	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.5	18.3	17.4	17.9	17.5
SAS	15.5	13.8	14.7	19.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	67	67	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.31	7	-8	15	16.7	20.5	-3.87	16.8	12.3	4.47
Darrick Martin	33	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	5	-11	18.8	16.7	2.12	14.6	16.5	-1.96
Rick Brunson	53	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.41	5	-6	11	16.7	18.8	-2.12	16.5	14.6	1.96
Zeljko Rebraca	28	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	5	-11	18.0	17.3	0.78	15.7	15.8	-0.17
Chris Kaman	73	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.46	4	-5	9	17.7	16.2	1.51	16.4	13.0	3.38
Elton Brand	70	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-1	1	17.2	18.9	-1.67	15.5	17.4	-1.95
Bobby Simmons	73	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.46	3	-4	7	17.1	19.8	-2.66	15.2	19.3	-4.13
Quinton Ross	33	34	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.18	-12	11	-23	19.8	16.1	3.79	14.6	16.5	-1.88

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	42	42	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.37	7	-6	13	17.0	14.7	2.24	18.0	17.0	1.05
Manu Ginobili	60	59	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.34	8	-7	15	15.1	17.2	-2.07	16.4	20.0	-3.57
Tony Parker	65	64	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.42	-3	4	-7	16.0	15.3	0.64	17.1	18.7	-1.57
Rasho Nesterovic	41	42	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.25	2	-1	3	14.7	16.8	-2.15	16.7	18.3	-1.65
Tim Duncan	66	66	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.47	-7	8	-15	16.3	14.1	2.18	17.5	17.4	0.15
Robert Horry	29	28	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	-7	15	15.4	16.0	-0.57	17.7	17.4	0.25
Malik Rose	17	16	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.18	0	1	-1	18.7	15.1	3.62	20.9	16.7	4.13
Beno Udrih	22	22	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	-3	7	15.3	16.0	-0.64	18.7	17.1	1.57
Tony Massenburg	20	19	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	2	-3	15.2	16.0	-0.71	16.7	17.7	-1.06
Devin Brown	12	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	4	-7	13.0	16.2	-3.24	20.2	17.1	3.09
Bruce Bowen	61	60	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.19	-10	11	-21	15.9	15.5	0.42	17.5	17.4	0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.87,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 97, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.72,0.77,0.91,1	93.7%
IND 119, LAL 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.75,0.71,0.85,0.84,1	93.4%
LAC 103, NOP 111	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.9,0.94,0.83,0.99,1	93.0%