NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	78		Excitement	6.5 [478]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +16.7%
Detroit Pistons	83		Comeback	1.4 [1119]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -15.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Andre Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	14	44%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Thaddeus Young	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	54%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Lou Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	10	58%	0.13	4	-0.16	6	83%	0.03
Jason Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	12	48%	-0.00	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	17	40%	-0.07	4	-0.08	9	78%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.08	-0.04	12	58%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.08	-0.00	9	46%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.05
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	11	56%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	12	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	16	31%	-0.07	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	30.2	17.5	27.9	1.7	35.0	138.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +21.8%

PHI -5.6%

PHI -8.9%

DET +31.1%

DET +11.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	16.2	18.5	15.4	92.9	101.2	105.7
season	15.2	16.8		104.0	108.8
opponent	15.8	16.2		101.3	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.3	16.4	17.0	14.5	16.2
DET	22.7	16.3	18.1	17.5	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	62	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.35	7	-12	19	16.4	15.9	0.51	19.1	16.7	2.38
Thaddeus Young	19	19	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	3	-11	12.6	17.3	-4.66	15.2	19.5	-4.33
Andre Iguodala	69	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-9	13	16.8	13.6	3.21	18.8	17.1	1.74
Lou Williams	56	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-6	7	15.1	18.4	-3.29	17.7	20.1	-2.42
Jason Smith	45	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	2	-9	14.8	17.9	-3.10	17.6	19.6	-2.07
Samuel Dalembert	54	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-3	1	17.2	14.6	2.60	18.8	18.0	0.77
Reggie Evans	65	63	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.44	-2	-3	1	16.9	13.9	2.96	19.6	14.8	4.75
Willie Green	50	48	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.09	-18	13	-31	17.3	14.7	2.62	18.6	18.3	0.33

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	50	54	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	-4	13	18.8	17.9	0.90	17.8	13.5	4.26
Tayshaun Prince	58	58	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.26	7	-2	9	18.7	18.1	0.57	16.3	16.2	0.07
Antonio McDyess	54	56	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.32	0	5	-5	19.1	17.4	1.72	17.2	14.3	2.93
Ronald Murray	25	25	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	-4	13	17.1	19.1	-1.97	18.8	15.2	3.65
Arron Afflalo	33	34	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	-5	15	17.1	19.4	-2.34	16.8	15.9	0.88
Richard Hamilton	49	50	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.36	-5	10	-15	19.4	17.1	2.34	15.9	16.8	-0.88
Chauncey Billups	57	59	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.33	-4	9	-13	19.1	17.1	1.97	15.2	18.8	-3.65
Amir Johnson	12	12	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	4	-3	17.8	18.6	-0.77	12.0	16.9	-4.94
Nazr Mohammed	44	42	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	4	-3	18.5	18.5	0.03	14.9	17.6	-2.71
Jarvis Hayes	28	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	8	-11	16.6	19.4	-2.80	15.2	16.8	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 93, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.81,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.92,1	94.7%
SAC 97, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.86,0.77,0.98,1	93.6%
UTA 81, SAS 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.96,1	93.4%