NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	97		Excitement	7.1 [385]		MVP	Juwan Howard (DAL): +3.2%
Dallas Mavericks	101		Comeback	1.2 [916]		LVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): -22.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	10	45%	0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	13	46%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	11	43%	-0.06	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
Vlade Divac	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	5	56%	-0.03	5	-0.11	6	50%	-0.04
Chris Webber	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.04,-0.18	0.02	-0.17	0.03	21	52%	-0.08	1	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Peja Stojakovic	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	0.02	15	49%	-0.17	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	23	54%	0.14	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	29	46%	0.02	0	0.00	9	78%	0.02
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	10	61%	0.03	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	-0.02	15	36%	-0.12	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.8	27.2	17.4	28.4	2.4	32.1	131.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +38.6%

DAL +15.1%

SAC -17.0%

DAL +15.6%

SAC -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DAL	NBA	SAC	DAL	NBA
this game	13.5	15.1	15.5	96.0	101.0	100.9
season	14.4	15.2		103.1	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		101.2	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.2	13.2	14.2	13.5	13.5
DAL	13.0	15.7	14.0	18.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Williams	57	56	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-7	10	12.8	14.5	-1.77	14.2	16.2	-1.98
Doug Christie	79	76	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-9	14	13.0	15.5	-2.50	14.9	15.7	-0.83
Jon Barry	12	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	0	-4	14.0	13.5	0.52	15.1	15.1	-0.05
Vlade Divac	67	66	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-8	12	13.2	14.2	-1.00	15.3	14.9	0.40
Peja Stojakovic	87	87	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.43	3	-7	10	13.0	16.9	-3.93	15.2	14.3	0.93
Hedo Turkoglu	24	24	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.04	-12	8	-20	17.1	12.4	4.64	15.3	15.1	0.28
Scot Pollard	44	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	8	-20	14.3	12.9	1.37	14.9	15.3	-0.33
Chris Webber	91	91	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.42	0	-4	4	13.4	14.7	-1.28	15.1	15.2	-0.11
Bobby Jackson	44	44	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	3	-10	14.5	12.8	1.77	16.2	14.2	1.98

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	59	59	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-9	22	15.9	14.0	1.82	14.8	11.8	2.97
Juwan Howard	96	98	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	-2	8	15.2	13.5	1.69	13.7	10.0	3.65
Michael Finley	100	101	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	15.1	0.0	15.12	13.5	0.0	13.54
Dirk Nowitzki	91	91	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.42	-2	6	-8	15.1	15.7	-0.60	13.5	13.5	0.05
Howard Eisley	41	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	-5	14	14.7	15.4	-0.66	15.2	12.3	2.90
Steve Nash	60	60	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.30	-5	9	-14	15.1	15.1	0.03	12.1	15.6	-3.48
Calvin Booth	53	54	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	9	-14	14.5	15.8	-1.22	12.2	15.0	-2.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.86,0.77,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 78, DET 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.99,1	93.6%
HOU 92, LAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.85,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.98,1	93.1%
CLE 104, SAC 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	92.9%