inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 116 Excitement7.3 [367] MVPDeMar DeRozan (TOR): +33.1%
Detroit Pistons 107 Comeback1.2 [959] LVPPeyton Siva (DET): -10.7%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0.330,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.3,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.330.170.170.011962%0.3300.001080%0.03
Kyle Lowry0.160,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.140.020.001864%0.192-0.03875%0.01
Terrence Ross0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.010.06-0.01467%0.112-0.041100%0.00
Amir Johnson0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.000.01389%0.0700.00367%-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.010.041255%0.0400.00989%0.01
Tyler Hansbrough0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.000100%0.0200.002100%0.01
Patrick Patterson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02540%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Charles Hayes-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.00333%-0.0400.0000%0.00
John Salmons-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Greivis Vasquez-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.040.03-0.040.03970%0.003-0.042100%0.01
Nando De Colo-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.03-0.00540%-0.001-0.0500%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greg Monroe0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.080.120.011362%0.232-0.041164%-0.02
Kyle Singler0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.01-0.01958%0.0800.00667%0.00
Tony Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.02240%0.011-0.0110%-0.01
Brandon Jennings0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.01-0.021842%0.042-0.05475%-0.02
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.020.01555%-0.011-0.011100%0.00
Andre Drummond0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.020.000.02954%0.023-0.06850%-0.06
Gigi Datome0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.00-0.050.021156%0.014-0.091080%-0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.050.01633%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Peyton Siva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.05-0.06-0.00936%-0.061-0.05771%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.02.529.715.630.63.335.3148.0
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +41.4%
TOR +4.8%
DET -21.3%
TOR +17.2%
TOR +8.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORDETNBATORDETNBA
this game15.614.715.1122.1112.6105.2
season15.915.0107.2104.7
opponent15.015.1108.4104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR13.515.716.217.315.6
DET14.716.413.114.814.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terrence Ross44450.67-0.170.830.1717-82514.616.5-1.8415.913.62.27
DeMar DeRozan73720.50-0.000.500.3072516.014.11.9015.213.22.03
Jonas Valanciunas60600.400.100.290.1390915.016.7-1.7214.714.7-0.04
Patrick Patterson48480.380.120.250.2063316.714.52.1613.715.7-1.95
Greivis Vasquez40390.280.220.060.1936-317.214.42.7613.115.8-2.69
Kyle Lowry67680.170.33-0.16-0.0681714.418.4-4.0114.814.50.33
Tyler Hansbrough21210.090.41-0.310.0136-316.715.31.3714.014.9-0.92
Amir Johnson33350.080.42-0.340.0227-514.316.3-2.0315.714.11.54
Nando De Colo28280.060.44-0.380.15-312-1515.615.60.0616.414.02.33
Charles Hayes28260.060.44-0.390.12-211-1315.915.50.4215.814.31.50
John Salmons3333-0.180.68-0.86-0.03-514-1916.415.21.1712.316.0-3.70

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greg Monroe6665-0.04-0.460.43-0.247-162315.413.12.3215.915.00.88
Rodney Stuckey5858-0.06-0.440.380.06-4-5113.516.6-3.0815.316.1-0.74
Brandon Jennings5959-0.06-0.440.380.06-4-5113.317.0-3.7215.515.8-0.38
Tony Mitchell1314-0.10-0.400.290.01-4-5113.215.0-1.8114.415.8-1.46
Gigi Datome2626-0.12-0.380.27-0.09-1-8715.414.50.9215.515.6-0.08
Andre Drummond6263-0.24-0.260.01-0.302-111314.315.5-1.2215.815.20.53
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope2827-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.29-2-7516.613.92.6317.215.02.27
Peyton Siva3737-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.29-5-4-116.613.53.0816.115.30.74
Kyle Singler8181-0.520.02-0.55-0.11-145-1914.715.1-0.4215.118.2-3.07
Jonas Jerebko4545-0.560.06-0.630.02-2011-3115.114.30.7915.415.8-0.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.25,0.14,0.09,0.16,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.1,0.01,0.07,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 99, LAL 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.3,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,093.1%
DAL 90, UTA 870.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.14,0.04,0.03,0,0,092.3%
SAS 85, HOU 750.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.02,0,091.7%