NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	99		Excitement	6.1 [577]		MVP	Jim Jackson (HOU): +10.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	87		Comeback	1.3 [564]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -20.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	12	64%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Maurice Taylor	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	11	58%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	13	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.03
Alton Ford	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.03	18	48%	0.03	2	-0.04	10	80%	-0.02
Kelvin Cato	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Yao Ming	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.01	14	60%	0.08	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	5	36%	-0.02	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	11	45%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	11	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	150%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.07	0.03	13	42%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	19%	-0.10	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.06	0.02	12	52%	-0.13	2	-0.04	18	67%	-0.06
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.09	-0.02	26	40%	-0.11	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	3.5	35.4	22.4	30.5	3.6	38.3	156.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +58.2%

HOU +3.9%

LAL -3.8%

LAL -12.7%

HOU +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.9	15.7	103.1	93.5	100.5
season	16.5	15.4		98.8	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.6		99.0	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.7	17.7	14.9	13.8	15.5
LAL	15.6	12.3	15.1	16.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moochie Norris	22	20	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.25	9	3	6	17.4	15.0	2.44	17.8	14.1	3.71
Steve Francis	85	81	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	-1	14	15.0	19.5	-4.43	14.5	18.2	-3.71
Maurice Taylor	55	53	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.21	9	3	6	14.9	16.4	-1.50	15.4	14.4	0.98
Cuttino Mobley	79	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-2	16	16.1	12.9	3.22	15.1	14.0	1.14
Kelvin Cato	72	68	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.16	4	8	-4	15.2	16.7	-1.51	15.0	14.8	0.13
Yao Ming	56	55	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.07	8	4	4	16.0	14.8	1.17	15.9	13.6	2.29
Alton Ford	8	8	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	10	-8	18.1	15.3	2.83	8.5	15.5	-7.04
Eric Piatkowski	29	29	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	14	-16	15.5	15.6	-0.07	15.7	14.6	1.15
Scott Padgett	1	2	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	11	-10	30.0	15.4	14.62	2.5	15.2	-12.71
Jim Jackson	73	73	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.08	2	10	-8	15.0	17.3	-2.39	14.1	17.8	-3.71

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Slava Medvedenko	44	43	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.01	8	-20	28	15.6	14.4	1.20	16.7	14.6	2.07
Bryon Russell	23	24	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.10	6	-18	24	15.0	14.9	0.03	16.0	15.4	0.57
Luke Walton	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-10	8	13.7	15.0	-1.31	5.0	15.9	-10.87
Kareem Rush	5	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-9	6	15.6	14.9	0.70	15.3	15.6	-0.26
Kobe Bryant	85	87	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-5	-2	14.7	17.4	-2.67	15.5	15.7	-0.15
Derek Fisher	30	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.24	-3	-9	6	15.8	14.5	1.33	15.1	15.7	-0.58
Gary Payton	78	82	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	1	-14	14.9	15.1	-0.16	15.8	13.8	2.04
Devean George	58	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.01	-16	4	-20	14.8	15.2	-0.42	15.2	16.1	-0.86
Shaquille O'Neal	78	83	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	3	-18	15.3	13.1	2.15	15.9	13.2	2.66
Horace Grant	61	63	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.19	-15	3	-18	14.1	16.5	-2.43	14.8	17.0	-2.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.3,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 116, DET 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.25,0.14,0.09,0.16,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.1,0.01,0.07,0,0	93.1%
DAL 90, UTA 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.14,0.04,0.03,0,0,0	92.2%
OKC 102, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.35,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.26,0.11,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0	91.9%