NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	90		Excitement	5.2 [794]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +20.2%
Utah Jazz	87		Comeback	1.1 [669]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -15.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.06	0.03	25	63%	0.27	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02
Marquis Daniels	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.01	8	52%	0.09	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.01
Devin Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	11	53%	0.05	1	-0.05	8	75%	0.01
Jason Terry	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	13	54%	0.08	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.22	0.05	0.07	16	73%	0.22	1	-0.02	12	83%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	13	61%	0.10	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	10	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Jarron Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	11	23%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	32.3	16.4	23.3	2.8	30.7	132.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +38.7%

DAL +1.2%

DAL +13.7%

UTA -6.5%

DAL +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.9	16.2	15.6	103.4	100.0	104.4
season	16.4	17.0		109.0	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.6		104.6	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.0	14.6	18.9	17.5	16.9
UTA	15.7	15.4	18.1	16.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	62	64	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-4	11	15.7	19.6	-3.90	16.1	16.7	-0.62
Jason Terry	69	67	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.26	6	-3	9	16.8	17.1	-0.24	16.9	14.0	2.91
Dirk Nowitzki	77	78	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.43	0	3	-3	16.8	17.2	-0.38	16.0	18.4	-2.46
Marquis Daniels	61	61	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.51	-4	7	-11	16.9	16.8	0.02	15.9	17.0	-1.14
Erick Dampier	51	48	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	-3	9	17.9	15.4	2.47	17.1	15.1	2.02
Devin Harris	11	10	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	0	3	20.1	16.4	3.70	15.7	16.3	-0.61
Darrell Armstrong	26	26	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.24	-6	9	-15	15.9	17.3	-1.34	13.8	17.3	-3.42
Adrian Griffin	46	45	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	1	1	17.4	16.2	1.22	17.1	15.3	1.85
DeSagana Diop	20	22	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	4	-5	18.2	16.4	1.80	15.6	16.5	-0.87
DJ Mbenga	12	14	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	1	1	13.4	17.4	-4.00	16.6	16.2	0.39

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	26	26	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-8	13	17.3	15.8	1.52	20.2	15.5	4.69
Kris Humphries	1	1	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-5	7	18.0	16.2	1.78	1.0	17.0	-16.05
Milt Palacio	33	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	0	-3	17.3	15.6	1.71	17.9	16.2	1.70
Keith McLeod	27	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-2	1	14.9	16.9	-2.01	14.9	17.7	-2.77
Devin Brown	44	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	0	-3	15.3	17.2	-1.91	17.0	16.7	0.23
Deron Williams	60	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.36	-2	-1	-1	16.9	14.9	2.01	17.7	14.9	2.77
Mehmet Okur	65	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.42	-1	-2	1	16.1	16.7	-0.65	16.8	17.2	-0.44
Matt Harpring	48	49	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.35	-4	1	-5	16.1	16.4	-0.31	16.5	17.4	-0.90
Andrei Kirilenko	78	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.42	-2	-1	-1	16.4	15.1	1.26	16.8	17.7	-0.90
Carlos Boozer	53	52	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	3	-9	15.9	16.7	-0.76	15.4	19.0	-3.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.14,0.04,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 99, DAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.15,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.01,0	94.7%
ORL 107, ATL 104	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.39,0.23,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.24,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.09,0	92.9%
DET 80, TOR 72	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.37,0.31,0.16,0.09,0.01,0.05,0.01,0,0	92.6%