NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	80		Excitement	5.5 [709]		MVP	Corliss Williamson (DET): +12.3%
Toronto Raptors	72		Comeback	1.0 [968]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -22.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.00	0.11	-0.01	12	65%	0.23	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	13	75%	0.16	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.04	-0.03	5	50%	0.07	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Michael Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	3	62%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Zeljko Rebraca	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	7	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.20	-0.05	-0.03	17	32%	-0.13	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keon Clark	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	11	54%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	5	54%	0.03	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	9	57%	0.03	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Alvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	11	39%	-0.06	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	12	56%	0.09	6	-0.17	1	100%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	16	44%	-0.10	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.0	27.0	14.6	24.5	3.3	27.3	122.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +31.7%

DET +9.9%

DET +0.1%

DET +13.4%

TOR -5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	TOR	NBA	DET	TOR	NBA
this game	16.4	16.5	15.6	92.0	81.8	102.3
season	15.7	16.2		101.9	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.8		100.9	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.1	15.1	18.5	15.3	16.4
TOR	17.2	17.0	15.8	16.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	43	42	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.19	12	-4	16	15.7	17.1	-1.35	16.8	16.2	0.52
Damon Jones	42	43	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.30	8	0	8	14.8	18.0	-3.22	16.2	16.8	-0.59
Jon Barry	46	47	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.27	8	0	8	15.4	17.6	-2.24	15.7	17.4	-1.64
Zeljko Rebraca	35	34	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	3	2	14.7	17.6	-2.86	17.9	15.6	2.37
Ben Wallace	72	72	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	7	-6	16.5	16.0	0.51	16.6	15.9	0.67
Clifford Robinson	67	69	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	0	8	17.2	13.7	3.47	15.9	18.7	-2.80
Jerry Stackhouse	51	54	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	9	-10	17.1	15.5	1.63	15.9	17.4	-1.41
Chucky Atkins	45	45	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	8	-8	18.0	14.8	3.22	16.8	16.2	0.59
Michael Curry	34	34	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	9	-10	17.7	15.6	2.10	17.6	15.8	1.79

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Montross	12	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-3	-2	18.8	16.1	2.71	17.1	16.3	0.76
Dell Curry	49	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-9	10	15.8	17.3	-1.47	17.1	15.6	1.44
Antonio Davis	77	77	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.19	-1	-7	6	16.6	15.7	0.87	16.8	13.5	3.31
Morris Peterson	71	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-5	2	16.2	17.7	-1.51	16.3	16.9	-0.57
Alvin Williams	70	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.35	3	-11	14	16.3	17.2	-0.85	17.3	12.7	4.50
Chris Childs	30	29	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	3	-14	16.9	16.3	0.62	13.4	17.9	-4.52
Keon Clark	77	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-3	-2	16.2	18.4	-2.14	17.0	13.1	3.88
Jerome Williams	26	24	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.00	-14	6	-20	15.7	16.8	-1.18	15.9	16.6	-0.76
Michael Stewart	28	31	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-3	-2	18.6	15.5	3.05	14.5	17.5	-2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.37,0.31,0.16,0.09,0.01,0.05,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 86, CLE 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.08,0.01,0.03,0.03,0	93.5%
DAL 106, BOS 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.28,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.13,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0	93.4%
MIN 101, MEM 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.01,0	93.3%