NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	116		Excitement	5.1 [826]		MVP	Randy Foye (DEN): +41.2%
Denver Nuggets	123		Comeback	1.0 [688]		LVP	Aaron Brooks (DEN): -9.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lin	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	-0.01	11	75%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Jones	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	8	65%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Chandler Parsons	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.02	-0.04	13	53%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Troy Daniels	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	0.00	0.08	6	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	55%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Francisco Garcia	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	8	67%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Canaan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.15	0.03	-0.11	10	27%	0.04	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Omri Casspi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	3	83%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	9	38%	-0.01	1	-0.01	8	100%	0.04
Donatas Motiejunas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.23	0.13	-0.05	17	79%	0.41	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.03
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.03	0.00	13	73%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.00	-0.03	17	64%	0.16	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	9	70%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	15	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	15	41%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	29.6	16.4	26.5	2.4	27.4	130.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +30.2%

HOU -2.4%

DEN +10.0%

DEN +10.5%

DEN +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DEN	NBA	HOU	DEN	NBA
this game	12.7	14.6	15.1	109.4	117.1	105.2
season	14.3	14.0		109.5	104.5
opponent	14.9	15.2		106.4	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.1	12.6	12.8	10.9	12.7
DEN	12.1	14.0	13.4	19.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Daniels	21	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.44	15	-22	37	10.8	13.1	-2.31	21.1	13.1	7.97
Robert Covington	21	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.44	15	-22	37	10.8	13.1	-2.31	21.1	13.1	7.97
Terrence Jones	41	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-2	-3	13.3	12.2	1.11	12.9	15.7	-2.74
Jeremy Lin	54	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.12	-8	1	-9	13.1	12.2	0.88	13.4	15.9	-2.56
Omer Asik	55	54	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-6	5	13.0	12.3	0.71	14.0	15.3	-1.30
Francisco Garcia	21	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	1	-9	13.2	12.5	0.72	11.7	15.3	-3.58
Jordan Hamilton	64	62	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.45	7	-14	21	12.1	13.6	-1.51	16.3	12.3	4.05
Chandler Parsons	51	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	4	-15	13.2	12.2	1.03	13.5	15.7	-2.20
Omri Casspi	27	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.22	-17	10	-27	13.1	12.5	0.60	12.2	15.5	-3.27
Isaiah Canaan	51	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-10	13	12.5	12.8	-0.29	15.5	13.8	1.65
James Harden	59	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.15	-19	12	-31	13.4	11.8	1.61	13.0	16.7	-3.72
Donatas Motiejunas	65	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.26	-6	-1	-5	12.0	13.6	-1.59	15.3	13.5	1.77

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	87	85	0.65	-0.15	0.81	-0.11	26	-19	45	13.9	18.4	-4.58	12.8	12.1	0.70
Quincy Miller	88	91	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-6	19	14.5	15.4	-0.91	12.9	11.4	1.47
Timofey Mozgov	59	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	-8	23	12.1	18.0	-5.93	13.1	12.0	1.13
Aaron Brooks	79	80	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	9	-11	14.8	14.2	0.61	12.5	13.1	-0.60
Darrell Arthur	38	39	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	0	7	14.8	14.6	0.26	13.1	12.4	0.62
Kenneth Faried	62	62	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	7	-7	13.1	16.8	-3.67	12.9	12.3	0.59
Evan Fournier	54	56	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.47	-11	18	-29	17.0	12.1	4.88	12.1	13.3	-1.29
Jan Vesely	46	46	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.36	-8	15	-23	18.0	12.1	5.93	12.0	13.1	-1.13
Anthony Randolph	12	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.10	-5	12	-17	17.0	14.3	2.66	11.3	12.8	-1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.83,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 83, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
CHI 70, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
UTA 86, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%