inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 70 Excitement3.8 [1054] MVPShaquille O'Neal (MIA): +10.9%
Miami Heat 103 Comeback1.0 [843] LVPLuol Deng (CHI): -14.4%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Duhon0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.07-0.010.01771%0.081-0.03333%0.00
Tyrus Thomas0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.01-0.03657%0.023-0.022100%0.01
Viktor Khryapa0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04125%0.0010.00250%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.01350%-0.0000.00475%0.00
Michael Sweetney-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.02217%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Malik Allen-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.000.02460%-0.0210.002100%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0100%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Adrian Griffin-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.00333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Ben Gordon-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.02-0.021838%-0.042-0.041100%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.00520%-0.061-0.0400%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.04-0.021150%0.036-0.1500%0.00
Luol Deng-0.140,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.13-0.03-0.021427%-0.102-0.042100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.02-0.011859%0.131-0.0250%-0.07
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.250.000.1811100%0.0700.001100%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.011258%0.062-0.0300%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.01-0.00-0.01960%0.052-0.032100%0.01
Earl Barron0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.062125%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.000.01850%-0.002-0.04250%-0.01
James Posey0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.02-0.03939%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Jason Williams0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01638%-0.022-0.031100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.12.426.415.726.32.428.2124.6
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +45.3%
CHI -5.9%
CHI -7.2%
MIA +16.9%
MIA +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIMIANBACHIMIANBA
this game15.118.015.480.5118.4104.5
season14.516.0103.1102.4
opponent15.615.9104.398.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI17.113.214.715.715.1
MIA16.419.517.418.618.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Viktor Khryapa1111-0.00-0.500.500.32-11-221115.215.10.0618.118.00.13
P.J. Brown2526-0.05-0.450.390.03-3-302717.014.42.6319.717.22.50
Thabo Sefolosha76-0.08-0.420.340.01-3-302717.714.92.8116.018.1-2.12
Malik Allen2323-0.11-0.390.290.33-15-18315.315.10.1817.218.2-1.03
Luol Deng6263-0.16-0.340.170.16-11-221115.514.31.1919.015.43.59
Ben Gordon6667-0.18-0.320.130.11-10-231315.015.5-0.4618.815.33.48
Michael Sweetney88-0.19-0.310.11-0.02-6-272112.615.4-2.7511.918.6-6.72
Ben Wallace5656-0.20-0.300.100.15-12-21915.414.60.8519.215.83.32
Kirk Hinrich5654-0.30-0.20-0.100.11-14-19515.015.3-0.2518.617.01.57
Adrian Griffin3031-0.32-0.18-0.130.30-21-12-914.615.4-0.8515.819.2-3.32
Tyrus Thomas4141-0.40-0.10-0.310.48-30-3-2714.315.9-1.5816.119.6-3.46
Chris Duhon5049-0.500.00-0.500.35-29-4-2514.715.8-1.1017.119.1-1.96

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Williams65660.54-0.040.59-0.042013718.017.80.2715.414.21.17
Udonis Haslem54540.51-0.010.52-0.082013717.219.2-1.9416.013.72.30
Alonzo Mourning24230.310.190.130.05924-1515.019.1-4.1114.715.3-0.53
Antoine Walker44430.300.200.10-0.3422111117.618.4-0.8314.016.2-2.14
Eddie Jones59590.270.230.05-0.492671918.217.50.7615.714.01.71
Gary Payton43420.270.230.03-0.352112917.218.7-1.4713.816.4-2.55
Shaquille O'Neal55560.190.31-0.13-0.341815319.116.03.1315.314.80.45
James Posey65660.110.39-0.28-0.482013718.815.63.1914.915.7-0.77
Earl Barron660.000.50-0.50-0.03132-3119.017.91.1016.015.10.94
Dorell Wright660.000.50-0.50-0.03132-3119.017.91.1016.015.10.94
Michael Doleac880.000.50-0.50-0.18627-2119.017.91.1315.115.1-0.00
Chris Quinn660.000.50-0.50-0.03132-3119.017.91.1016.015.10.94


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 105, HOU 1210.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
ORL 91, SEA 1140.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%
MEM 98, DEN 1150.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%