inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 91 Excitement4.2 [964] MVPMike Miller (ORL): +8.1%
Seattle SuperSonics 114 Comeback1.0 [948] LVPDarrell Armstrong (ORL): -14.5%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Miller0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.03-0.031661%0.143-0.06667%-0.01
Jud Buechler0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.00657%0.0300.00250%0.00
Steven Hunter0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.02-0.00-0.03455%0.0110.00367%-0.01
Horace Grant0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00747%0.0000.001100%0.00
Don Reid-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01350%-0.0000.0020%0.00
Tracy McGrady-0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00367%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Monty Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.020.000.02558%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Troy Hudson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.031045%-0.023-0.022100%0.00
Pat Garrity-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.03-0.01950%0.012-0.0600%0.00
Andrew DeClercq-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.0020%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Patrick Ewing-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.04-0.01729%-0.042-0.0700%0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.06-0.011141%-0.024-0.1300%0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brent Barry0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.14-0.020.041376%0.091-0.02367%-0.01
Gary Payton0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.03-0.002454%0.132-0.0500%0.00
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.03-0.00-0.02571%0.061-0.01450%-0.02
Art Long0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01967%0.0410.0000%0.00
Vin Baker0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.02-0.011554%0.062-0.045100%0.02
Predrag Drobnjak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Olumide Oyedeji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.010100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Shammond Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Desmond Mason0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.05-0.01-0.05935%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Rashard Lewis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.03-0.010.051354%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game53.61.726.115.723.42.628.3151.4
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SEA +27.8%
SEA +1.2%
SEA +0.5%
SEA +20.8%
ORL -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLSEANBAORLSEANBA
this game14.516.115.696.8121.3102.3
season14.616.0104.6106.3
opponent15.815.8103.9103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.616.213.214.414.5
SEA14.819.813.916.916.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Don Reid1516-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-211912.015.0-3.0015.916.2-0.22
Jud Buechler5456-0.04-0.460.420.05-3-201714.414.6-0.1817.014.82.27
Horace Grant4441-0.06-0.440.390.18-8-15713.915.1-1.1915.816.3-0.51
Patrick Ewing3336-0.12-0.380.26-0.09-1-222114.414.6-0.2417.715.12.56
Tracy McGrady1313-0.16-0.340.180.13-10-13311.315.0-3.7313.416.6-3.17
Darrell Armstrong5556-0.20-0.300.100.06-9-14514.215.0-0.8616.315.80.46
Andrew DeClercq109-0.22-0.280.070.02-8-15716.214.31.8810.916.7-5.78
Pat Garrity4344-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.22-1-222116.612.83.7516.216.00.16
Monty Williams4343-0.28-0.22-0.060.04-11-12115.014.10.8416.515.80.68
Steven Hunter3030-0.30-0.20-0.090.29-20-3-1713.215.1-1.8913.917.2-3.26
Troy Hudson5553-0.41-0.09-0.310.18-20-3-1714.913.90.9817.014.92.11
Mike Miller7573-0.47-0.03-0.440.18-22-1-2114.913.01.9115.817.2-1.44

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Payton73730.490.010.48-0.041851315.717.7-2.0015.311.83.49
Desmond Mason50510.410.090.320.061211116.615.60.9916.012.83.23
Vin Baker69700.400.100.31-0.151941515.418.1-2.7314.514.7-0.25
Rashard Lewis72700.370.130.25-0.011310315.817.2-1.3914.614.40.20
Earl Watson53540.280.220.06-0.071211117.514.43.1114.814.10.69
Brent Barry67660.250.25-0.01-0.081112-116.814.42.3515.013.41.61
Art Long49500.240.26-0.02-0.4624-12515.716.5-0.8013.615.6-2.01
Predrag Drobnjak19190.060.44-0.380.00221-1917.415.81.6312.315.1-2.76
Olumide Oyedeji880.000.50-0.50-0.03122-2113.416.4-3.009.015.0-6.03
Shammond Williams1090.000.50-0.50-0.09320-1714.316.3-2.039.415.1-5.61


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 70, MIA 1030.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%
CLE 100, BOS 1150.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
HOU 116, DEN 1230.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.83,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.91,1,194.6%