NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	97		Excitement	7.2 [373]		MVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): +42.7%
Atlanta Hawks	105		Comeback	16.4 [153]		LVP	Paul Millsap (ATL): -6.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.26	0.13	0.11	-0.02	16	67%	0.28	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Chris Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	15	58%	0.11	5	-0.15	3	33%	-0.03
Jeff Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	15	41%	0.04	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Sullinger	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	15	47%	0.08	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.13	0.27	-0.02	8	89%	0.44	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	82%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.01	9	68%	0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.04	12	68%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	13	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	12	50%	0.08	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.02	0.01	11	48%	0.07	5	-0.13	7	57%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.8	27.1	16.3	23.0	1.8	36.1	127.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +40.4%

BOS -0.3%

BOS -2.7%

ATL +12.6%

ATL +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.9	14.7	15.1	103.2	111.7	105.2
season	15.4	14.8		101.2	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.0		104.7	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.1	16.8	14.3	15.6	15.9
ATL	15.6	14.5	15.7	13.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Johnson	28	26	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.04	8	-16	24	17.4	15.3	2.14	15.2	14.5	0.61
Kelly Olynyk	29	28	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-9	10	18.4	14.8	3.65	14.7	14.7	-0.05
Joel Anthony	6	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-5	2	19.3	15.7	3.64	16.9	14.5	2.32
Phil Pressey	6	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-5	2	19.3	15.7	3.64	16.9	14.5	2.32
Jerryd Bayless	40	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-1	-6	15.9	15.9	-0.00	14.3	15.1	-0.77
Avery Bradley	71	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.25	-5	-3	-2	15.8	16.3	-0.50	14.5	15.4	-0.94
Jeff Green	73	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-2	-4	15.0	19.0	-4.02	14.7	14.7	0.04
Brandon Bass	64	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	0	-8	15.8	16.2	-0.35	15.2	13.8	1.39
Jared Sullinger	73	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.29	-8	0	-8	15.2	18.5	-3.28	14.5	15.5	-1.00
Rajon Rondo	80	81	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.35	-9	1	-10	15.7	17.4	-1.77	14.5	16.2	-1.67

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	77	78	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.29	15	-7	22	14.3	16.7	-2.43	15.8	16.4	-0.62
Kyle Korver	73	72	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.20	17	-9	26	14.6	15.2	-0.68	16.0	15.7	0.26
Jeff Teague	65	64	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.28	11	-3	14	14.5	15.2	-0.71	15.1	17.7	-2.56
DeMarre Carroll	74	74	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.42	4	4	0	15.7	10.9	4.84	15.4	17.7	-2.32
Elton Brand	67	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	5	-2	14.9	14.3	0.64	14.8	18.6	-3.77
Mike Muscala	8	8	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	8	-8	14.0	14.8	-0.78	18.4	15.7	2.68
Louis Williams	33	34	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.09	0	8	-8	13.5	15.4	-1.85	16.4	15.7	0.67
Cartier Martin	1	1	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	11	-14	0.0	14.9	-14.87	0.0	16.1	-16.10
Mike Scott	36	36	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.06	-2	10	-12	15.5	14.2	1.23	17.7	14.8	2.82
Shelvin Mack	36	37	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.00	-5	13	-18	14.8	14.7	0.15	18.2	14.4	3.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.48,0.41,0.3,0.44,0.36,0.22,0.3,0.18,0.38,0.35,0.22,0.09,0.09,0.36,0.54,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 105, SAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.36,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.28,0.55,0.72,0.71,0.73,1	90.2%
CHA 94, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.29,0.13,0.47,0.22,0.67,0.85,1	89.5%
SAC 104, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.24,0.33,0.2,0.55,0.77,0.91,1	89.3%