NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	105		Excitement	7.9 [295]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +22.1%
Sacramento Kings	107		Comeback	6.1 [332]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -51.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stromile Swift	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.05	0.01	11	82%	0.21	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Jason Williams	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09	-0.02	0.09	-0.02	14	53%	0.16	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.06
Earl Watson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	8	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bonzi Wells	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	9	50%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.03,-0.03	0.09	-0.11	0.01	7	87%	0.09	1	-0.12	1	0%	-0.02
Shane Battier	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22,-0.22	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	5	17%	-0.20	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.15
Pau Gasol	-0.52	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.3,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.52	-0.17	-0.32	0.03	13	47%	-0.21	6	-0.31	10	70%	-0.05

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.22	0.22	0.05	0.18	0.00	24	57%	0.27	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.03	-0.01	13	60%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	10	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	13	52%	-0.00	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	8	73%	0.13	5	-0.16	6	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.4	37.1	17.6	27.4	2.8	43.1	158.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM -6.4%

SAC +16.9%

MEM -8.3%

SAC +45.7%

SAC +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAC	NBA	MEM	SAC	NBA
this game	14.7	15.1	15.5	108.2	111.5	104.0
season	16.4	14.7		103.7	108.1
opponent	15.6	15.5		106.4	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.7	13.8	13.0	15.6	14.7
SAC	14.7	14.4	16.5	15.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	22	21	0.52	-1.02	1.53	-0.01	18	-20	38	12.9	15.2	-2.38	17.0	14.6	2.43
Earl Watson	39	38	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.04	9	-11	20	15.7	14.1	1.61	15.1	15.2	-0.11
Brian Cardinal	25	24	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.17	1	-3	4	15.4	14.5	0.89	16.2	14.8	1.42
Stromile Swift	63	60	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.45	15	-17	32	13.3	17.3	-4.04	16.2	13.4	2.81
Bonzi Wells	64	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	13	-28	15.8	12.6	3.13	14.8	15.9	-1.09
Mike Miller	42	42	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.59	8	-10	18	13.9	15.3	-1.49	15.8	14.6	1.14
Lorenzen Wright	35	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.08	-15	13	-28	17.5	13.1	4.40	14.7	15.4	-0.63
Pau Gasol	70	70	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.57	-6	4	-10	14.4	15.4	-0.98	14.5	16.9	-2.38
Jason Williams	59	60	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.52	-10	8	-18	13.9	15.9	-1.92	14.7	15.9	-1.19
Shane Battier	66	65	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.43	-15	13	-28	14.8	14.5	0.37	14.5	16.5	-2.07

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	82	83	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.49	6	-4	10	14.8	17.4	-2.67	14.9	13.5	1.40
Brad Miller	81	83	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.47	4	-2	6	14.8	17.0	-2.20	14.9	13.5	1.40
Peja Stojakovic	86	87	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.40	6	-4	10	15.1	15.8	-0.73	14.8	13.8	1.00
Mike Bibby	74	75	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	2	-2	15.4	14.5	0.90	14.2	16.3	-2.03
Chris Webber	72	73	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.32	0	2	-2	15.7	13.5	2.25	14.6	14.9	-0.29
Greg Ostertag	9	8	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	3	-4	15.0	15.2	-0.16	11.1	15.0	-3.90
Bobby Jackson	38	38	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	5	-8	14.8	15.4	-0.55	14.7	14.7	-0.03
Darius Songaila	28	28	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	0	2	15.8	14.9	0.90	16.0	14.2	1.78
Matt Barnes	10	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	6	-10	15.8	15.1	0.73	13.8	14.8	-1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.36,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.28,0.55,0.72,0.71,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 97, ATL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.48,0.41,0.3,0.44,0.36,0.22,0.3,0.18,0.38,0.35,0.22,0.09,0.09,0.36,0.54,0.85,0.98,1	90.2%
MIN 89, ATL 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.52,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.41,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.55,0.71,1	89.9%
DET 82, CLE 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.23,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.35,0.6,0.75,0.79,0.67,0.58,1	89.7%