NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	94		Excitement	8.0 [220]		MVP	Rasual Butler (LAC): +29.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	98		Comeback	6.8 [215]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): -42.5%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.24	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24	0.23	0.06	0.05	17	71%	0.24	0	0.00	11	91%	0.03
Derrick Brown	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	1	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Boris Diaw	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	13	69%	0.19	5	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Tyrus Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.01	9	56%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04
D.J. Augustin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	8	22%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13	0.00	-0.13	0.01	8	44%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.42	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.29,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.36,-0.36,-0.42,-0.34,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42	-0.28	-0.16	-0.01	16	18%	-0.28	5	-0.15	7	71%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.10	0.21	0.02	14	61%	0.29	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.00	6	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.09	-0.01	8	50%	0.17	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.08
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	44%	0.00	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.09
Chris Kaman	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	0.03	14	53%	0.07	4	-0.17	6	67%	0.05
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.09	-0.16	-0.00	9	50%	-0.02	5	-0.22	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	33.2	16.7	21.6	2.6	40.2	143.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +62.6%

CHA -6.1%

LAC +27.3%

CHA -32.2%

CHA -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	LAC	NBA	CHA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.0	15.3	15.3	102.2	106.5	106.0
season	16.2	15.5		103.0	101.9
opponent	15.2	15.4		108.5	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.4	17.5	16.3	16.3	16.0
LAC	14.4	17.6	15.7	13.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Brown	3	4	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.04	3	-7	10	12.7	16.2	-3.49	21.5	15.0	6.52
Theo Ratliff	58	57	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.04	2	-6	8	16.7	14.9	1.75	15.7	14.6	1.07
Stephen Jackson	76	75	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-3	2	15.8	17.4	-1.61	15.3	15.0	0.32
D.J. Augustin	31	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	0	-4	16.0	16.1	-0.07	16.1	14.9	1.25
Boris Diaw	76	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.40	0	-4	4	15.7	17.9	-2.22	14.3	19.6	-5.31
Gerald Wallace	92	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	16.0	0.0	16.04	15.3	0.0	15.26
Raymond Felton	77	79	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.49	-3	-1	-2	16.3	14.5	1.80	14.9	17.5	-2.65
Tyrus Thomas	47	48	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.36	-13	9	-22	16.1	16.0	0.09	15.8	14.7	1.11

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasual Butler	73	72	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.49	5	-1	6	14.6	17.8	-3.25	16.3	14.9	1.40
Drew Gooden	54	53	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-3	10	14.7	16.1	-1.35	15.8	16.3	-0.46
Eric Gordon	76	78	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	-1	6	14.9	16.9	-1.95	15.7	18.1	-2.39
Chris Kaman	61	62	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.45	3	1	2	14.7	16.3	-1.55	16.3	15.6	0.71
Baron Davis	71	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.47	0	4	-4	14.2	18.9	-4.72	16.0	16.2	-0.24
DeAndre Jordan	32	33	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	4	-4	14.6	15.6	-0.98	16.8	15.6	1.26
Steve Blake	30	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.11	1	3	-2	16.9	14.5	2.43	15.5	16.3	-0.76
Travis Outlaw	28	28	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.10	0	4	-4	18.0	14.1	3.89	16.2	16.0	0.25
Craig Smith	35	34	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.19	-1	5	-6	18.4	13.4	5.02	15.8	16.2	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.29,0.13,0.47,0.22,0.67,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 112, POR 117	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.33,0.97,1	90.6%
MIA 82, PHX 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.8,0.74,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.53,0.36,0.55,0.73,1	90.3%
MIA 65, BOS 70	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.22,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.21,0.43,0.85,1	90.3%