inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 65 Excitement7.8 [278] MVPAntoine Walker (BOS): +14.6%
Boston Celtics 70 Comeback6.1 [349] LVPPaul Pierce (BOS): -32.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kendall Gill0.130,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.130.010.120.001350%0.151-0.0300%0.00
Eddie House-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.02-0.03714%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Vladimir Stepania-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.10-0.050.00825%-0.082-0.0700%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.02-0.02914%-0.151-0.003100%0.01
Brian Grant-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.09-0.09-0.01833%-0.112-0.052100%0.01
Eddie Jones-0.210,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.21-0.06-0.140.002040%-0.062-0.1400%0.00
Rod Strickland-0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23-0.13-0.10-0.00923%-0.211-0.02425%-0.12
Alonzo Mourning-0.290,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.29,-0.29-0.04-0.250.011353%-0.083-0.21450%-0.03

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,0.03,0.15,0.150.15-0.020.16-0.002050%0.243-0.092100%0.02
Kenny Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.040.040.010.02-0.001055%0.061-0.032100%0.05
Vitaly Potapenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Erick Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00450%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.05-0.02557%0.001-0.034100%0.02
Rodney Rogers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00520%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.030.00650%0.002-0.0700%0.00
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.040.0030%-0.071-0.0400%0.00
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.33,-0.33,-0.39,-0.32-0.32-0.18-0.140.001641%-0.116-0.21560%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.826.219.524.63.434.4136.1
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +42.9%
BOS +22.1%
MIA -26.5%
BOS +12.2%
MIA -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIABOSNBAMIABOSNBA
this game18.514.715.675.679.5102.3
season16.515.096.6100.9
opponent15.715.898.898.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA17.819.716.520.118.5
BOS14.915.515.612.614.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie House31330.14-0.640.78-0.015-101517.918.8-0.9112.416.0-3.67
Vladimir Stepania35370.11-0.610.730.052-7919.417.81.5913.315.6-2.35
LaPhonso Ellis41440.03-0.530.570.06-1-4318.418.5-0.0912.416.9-4.50
Alonzo Mourning6868-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.410-5517.721.3-3.5315.013.61.37
Rod Strickland5757-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.32-61-718.718.00.6815.812.63.21
Kendall Gill5959-0.510.01-0.52-0.39-4-1-318.418.7-0.2615.313.32.06
Eddie Jones7375-0.600.10-0.71-0.40-72-918.319.3-0.9715.112.03.12
Brian Grant6667-0.770.27-1.04-0.36-149-2319.116.52.5915.611.64.06

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Battie43420.73-0.230.950.4310-51516.113.32.7618.618.40.16
Eric Williams53510.70-0.200.900.3711-61716.012.73.3218.518.5-0.04
Kenny Anderson69670.59-0.090.680.358-31114.714.60.1018.717.80.90
Paul Pierce85830.51-0.010.520.346-1714.89.75.1718.713.05.69
Antoine Walker80800.430.070.370.3241314.120.5-6.4218.616.32.32
Walter McCarty2625-0.040.54-0.57-0.0405-511.815.9-4.0519.118.20.89
Erick Strickland2020-0.090.59-0.670.00-38-1114.114.8-0.7216.919.0-2.00
Rodney Rogers3130-0.100.60-0.69-0.01-38-1114.514.7-0.2218.418.6-0.19
Vitaly Potapenko3332-0.240.74-0.97-0.00-813-2114.314.9-0.5217.719.0-1.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.22,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.21,0.43,0.85,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 84, DEN 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.68,0.73,192.2%
CHA 107, NYK 1100.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.54,0.68,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.44,0.33,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.31,0.55,0.32,0.96,190.8%
NYK 89, WAS 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.82,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.21,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.12,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.31,0.91,190.6%