NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	94		Excitement	5.5 [733]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (POR): +13.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	100		Comeback	3.5 [763]		LVP	Mo Williams (POR): -9.0%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alexis Ajinca	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	11	57%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.02	12	63%	0.13	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Greg Stiemsma	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.03	11	54%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Jeff Withey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	18	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	9	48%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Brian Roberts	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.03	-0.05	17	36%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	13	70%	0.17	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	12	67%	0.12	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	19	49%	0.07	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0	0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	25	46%	0.05	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	100%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	9	40%	0.02	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	30.1	14.8	24.1	2.3	34.4	131.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +35.8%

NOP -0.8%

POR +17.6%

POR +0.2%

NOP -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	POR	NBA	NOP	POR	NBA
this game	15.1	15.7	15.1	100.0	107.5	105.2
season	15.5	15.1		105.6	109.6
opponent	14.8	15.3		106.5	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.0	13.3	17.5	15.0	15.1
POR	15.7	16.7	14.6	15.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexis Ajinca	28	30	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.13	9	-15	24	13.7	15.7	-1.96	14.5	16.2	-1.69
Jeff Withey	7	7	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-8	10	13.4	15.3	-1.84	11.4	16.0	-4.59
Darius Miller	43	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-4	2	15.4	14.9	0.45	17.2	14.3	2.90
Al-Farouq Aminu	41	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-4	2	14.6	15.5	-0.92	15.5	15.8	-0.30
Austin Rivers	50	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-11	16	14.9	15.4	-0.49	14.1	17.4	-3.24
Anthony Morrow	67	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.37	3	-9	12	14.9	15.7	-0.86	15.0	17.4	-2.44
Greg Stiemsma	32	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	5	-16	16.7	14.3	2.36	16.6	15.2	1.44
Brian Roberts	69	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.26	-7	1	-8	15.0	15.4	-0.43	16.5	13.4	3.05
Tyreke Evans	67	64	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.21	-12	6	-18	15.3	14.8	0.44	15.8	15.4	0.33
Anthony Davis	66	63	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.20	-15	9	-24	15.7	13.7	1.96	16.2	14.5	1.69

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	45	45	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.06	18	-12	30	15.2	16.1	-0.88	15.8	14.5	1.33
Damian Lillard	73	74	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-8	22	16.2	13.7	2.46	15.4	14.1	1.24
Wesley Matthews	60	61	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.28	8	-2	10	15.7	15.6	0.06	15.6	14.2	1.36
LaMarcus Aldridge	68	69	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	-3	12	16.4	13.6	2.84	15.4	14.4	1.05
Nicolas Batum	77	77	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	6	-6	16.0	14.1	1.88	14.8	16.8	-2.07
Dorell Wright	36	36	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	1	4	15.5	15.8	-0.24	15.2	15.1	0.11
Mo Williams	64	66	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.30	-5	11	-16	15.2	16.8	-1.67	14.7	16.2	-1.50
Thomas Robinson	21	22	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	8	-10	14.9	15.9	-1.06	15.1	15.1	0.01
Will Barton	12	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	13	-20	12.2	16.2	-4.03	13.2	15.4	-2.15
Meyers Leonard	9	8	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.09	-10	16	-26	15.9	15.7	0.23	12.5	15.4	-2.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.77,0.9,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 95, IND 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.74,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
SAC 80, HOU 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.98,1,1	93.7%
BOS 111, ORL 119	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.98,1	93.7%