NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	95		Excitement	5.8 [684]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): +14.9%
Indiana Pacers	108		Comeback	4.6 [600]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (POR): -14.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	0.03	0.06	20	60%	0.11	0	0.00	8	87%	-0.01
Travis Outlaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	8	59%	0.04	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.02
Ime Udoka	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	43%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.04	0.01	7	67%	0.09	2	-0.09	7	57%	-0.03
Juan Dixon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.02	0.04	14	53%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	2	75%	0.04	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.02
Jarrett Jack	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.04	9	33%	-0.04	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	16	62%	0.21	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.05
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	7	82%	0.09	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	86%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Maceo Baston	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	3	90%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Orien Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	16	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	20%	-0.06
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	13	54%	0.12	5	-0.13	11	64%	-0.07
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.0	31.7	15.5	27.4	2.6	34.2	140.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +33.4%

IND +7.1%

IND +1.8%

IND +10.4%

POR -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	IND	NBA	POR	IND	NBA
this game	16.7	14.6	15.4	103.3	117.4	104.5
season	16.7	15.3		103.1	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.4		103.9	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.3	16.2	20.0	16.8	16.7
IND	15.1	14.5	12.7	16.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	39	38	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.19	12	-25	37	16.7	16.7	-0.04	16.4	13.3	3.04
Travis Outlaw	69	67	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.28	12	-25	37	15.5	20.4	-4.90	15.7	11.6	4.05
Sergio Rodriguez	31	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-17	21	16.9	16.6	0.33	15.1	14.3	0.75
LaMarcus Aldridge	24	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.20	3	-16	19	17.2	16.6	0.61	14.0	14.8	-0.86
Juan Dixon	62	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-13	13	16.4	17.3	-0.91	15.4	12.7	2.72
Joel Przybilla	21	22	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	2	-17	17.9	16.4	1.48	14.3	14.7	-0.41
Martell Webster	20	19	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.20	-18	5	-23	19.0	16.1	2.98	10.6	15.6	-5.05
Jarrett Jack	61	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	4	-21	16.6	16.9	-0.33	14.1	15.6	-1.52
Ime Udoka	74	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.01	-19	6	-25	16.6	17.2	-0.56	14.0	17.0	-3.00
Zach Randolph	59	59	-0.69	0.18	-0.87	0.11	-27	14	-41	17.2	15.8	1.45	13.9	15.8	-1.83

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Tinsley	75	74	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.02	29	-16	45	14.0	17.1	-3.10	16.9	15.9	1.03
Stephen Jackson	74	74	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.04	20	-7	27	13.6	18.8	-5.28	16.3	18.4	-2.08
Al Harrington	75	72	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.10	23	-10	33	14.2	16.5	-2.31	17.2	15.0	2.19
Maceo Baston	43	43	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.07	13	0	13	13.2	15.8	-2.59	14.7	18.4	-3.70
Sarunas Jasikevicius	46	45	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	7	-1	15.6	13.5	2.09	18.1	15.4	2.68
Jeff Foster	57	58	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	2	9	15.2	13.6	1.55	18.1	14.4	3.61
Orien Greene	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	16.7	14.5	2.15	6.7	17.1	-10.39
Danny Granger	56	58	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.14	-9	22	-31	15.3	13.5	1.74	16.4	17.3	-0.96
David Harrison	11	11	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.11	-9	22	-31	17.7	14.2	3.57	12.9	17.2	-4.33
Darrell Armstrong	14	16	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.07	-9	22	-31	17.2	14.1	3.10	16.4	16.8	-0.34
Marquis Daniels	9	9	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.09	-10	23	-33	16.8	14.3	2.43	16.0	16.8	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.74,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 94, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.77,0.9,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.95,1	94.0%
SAC 80, HOU 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.98,1,1	92.2%
MIL 83, NYK 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.4,0.3,0.24,0.36,0.52,0.65,0.75,0.92,0.86,0.82,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.99,1,1,1	92.1%