NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	83		Excitement	5.5 [687]		MVP	J.R. Smith (NYK): +20.8%
New York Knicks	101		Comeback	3.6 [632]		LVP	Monta Ellis (MIL): -13.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.03	-0.04	10	75%	0.19	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	20	56%	0.15	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Ekpe Udoh	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Mike Dunleavy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	9	35%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	13	37%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.19	0.05	0.03	22	62%	0.21	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.18	0.07	0.06	28	68%	0.30	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James White	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.06	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	7	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.4	25.7	23.5	25.6	1.8	23.6	128.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +35.3%

NYK +0.1%

NYK +12.8%

NYK +0.3%

NYK +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.7	16.1	15.4	91.2	112.2	104.1
season	14.7	16.2		101.6	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.3		103.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.5	14.4	17.6	15.4	15.7
NYK	15.1	16.9	13.7	18.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	35	35	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.21	13	-31	44	15.3	16.0	-0.75	18.4	14.6	3.85
John Henson	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	9.3	16.0	-6.63	13.0	16.2	-3.22
Ish Smith	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	9.3	16.0	-6.63	13.0	16.2	-3.22
Ekpe Udoh	29	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-19	20	15.6	15.8	-0.19	18.5	15.0	3.57
Marquis Daniels	35	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-17	16	16.5	15.3	1.20	14.5	17.0	-2.49
JJ Redick	57	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-11	4	15.6	15.9	-0.26	17.6	13.7	3.96
Monta Ellis	60	61	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	0.03	-13	-5	-8	15.6	16.0	-0.33	16.3	15.5	0.83
Luc Mbah a Moute	35	35	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	-7	-4	15.2	16.1	-0.84	15.9	16.2	-0.31
Larry Sanders	59	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.02	-16	-2	-14	16.1	15.0	1.10	15.1	17.8	-2.74
Brandon Jennings	72	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.10	-22	4	-26	16.0	14.9	1.01	15.1	19.7	-4.57
Ersan Ilyasova	67	65	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	0.15	-28	10	-38	16.1	14.7	1.41	15.4	17.8	-2.38

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pablo Prigioni	34	35	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.02	23	-5	28	13.2	17.8	-4.66	17.4	14.7	2.64
Raymond Felton	66	68	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.01	22	-4	26	15.7	17.2	-1.54	16.0	15.0	1.06
Carmelo Anthony	67	70	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.05	22	-4	26	15.8	16.9	-1.12	16.2	14.4	1.78
Tyson Chandler	68	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	2	14	16.1	15.9	0.22	16.5	13.1	3.45
J.R. Smith	62	64	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.04	14	4	10	16.7	14.6	2.08	15.3	16.7	-1.41
Iman Shumpert	38	37	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.20	8	10	-2	14.4	17.3	-2.96	15.4	16.0	-0.62
James White	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	15	-12	13.0	16.2	-3.22	9.3	16.0	-6.63
Jason Kidd	41	42	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	23	-28	18.7	13.9	4.83	15.5	15.9	-0.41
Chris Copeland	41	39	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	23	-28	16.8	15.5	1.25	14.1	17.0	-2.92
Steve Novak	29	27	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.02	-8	26	-34	17.6	15.4	2.17	14.8	16.1	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.4,0.3,0.24,0.36,0.52,0.65,0.75,0.92,0.86,0.82,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 96, BOS 102	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.39,0.45,0.62,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.96,1	93.9%
VAN 85, POR 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%
ATL 97, GSW 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.5%