NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	124		Excitement	5.5 [726]		MVP	Nick Young (LAL): +28.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	112		Comeback	1.9 [933]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAL): -18.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.16	0.03	0.06	22	64%	0.17	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.04
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.02	0.04	20	65%	0.18	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Robin Lopez	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	5	83%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	13	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Claver	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.02	11	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Will Barton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	57%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	0.06	12	42%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.26	0.02	-0.00	26	70%	0.31	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Kendall Marshall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.01	0.07	10	71%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	9	47%	-0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.08	0.02	16	37%	-0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.4	29.5	19.3	24.9	3.8	29.6	137.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +22.6%

POR +10.6%

POR +14.2%

POR +3.4%

LAL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	14.9	12.8	15.1	120.4	106.7	105.2
season	15.1	14.0		109.6	102.9
opponent	14.8	14.8		108.9	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.0	15.0	13.5	17.5	14.9
LAL	11.8	11.3	14.2	14.5	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	70	73	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.15	27	-15	42	14.5	15.7	-1.12	12.9	12.6	0.31
Nicolas Batum	76	78	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.07	18	-6	24	14.6	15.7	-1.14	13.1	12.0	1.14
Damian Lillard	75	77	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.18	24	-12	36	14.9	15.0	-0.08	13.3	11.5	1.79
Robin Lopez	71	75	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.19	21	-9	30	14.8	15.0	-0.19	13.5	11.1	2.44
Wesley Matthews	70	73	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.15	17	-5	22	14.4	15.9	-1.48	12.8	12.8	-0.05
Mo Williams	51	51	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	10	-8	16.1	13.7	2.33	13.4	12.2	1.21
Earl Watson	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	18	-24	15.0	14.9	0.10	7.8	13.1	-5.26
Victor Claver	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	13.0	14.9	-1.94	7.0	12.9	-5.87
CJ McCollum	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	18	-24	15.0	14.9	0.10	7.8	13.1	-5.26
Meyers Leonard	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	16.0	14.9	1.14	8.0	13.0	-5.00
Thomas Robinson	41	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.35	-13	25	-38	14.5	15.2	-0.69	11.8	13.4	-1.66
Dorell Wright	18	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	17	-22	17.4	14.4	3.08	13.2	12.7	0.43
Will Barton	25	26	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.33	-13	25	-38	14.8	14.9	-0.19	11.3	13.3	-2.05

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier Henry	30	29	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.07	7	-19	26	12.7	12.9	-0.20	14.7	15.0	-0.30
Ryan Kelly	45	43	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.17	8	-20	28	12.2	13.2	-0.99	15.6	14.4	1.12
Robert Sacre	40	39	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.13	5	-17	22	13.0	12.7	0.35	15.4	14.6	0.73
Steve Nash	45	46	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.22	8	-20	28	12.7	12.9	-0.17	15.6	14.3	1.28
Nick Young	69	69	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-15	18	12.4	13.5	-1.09	15.6	13.5	2.14
Kendall Marshall	45	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	2	-16	12.8	12.8	-0.06	14.4	15.3	-0.88
Chris Kaman	64	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.04	-19	7	-26	12.8	12.9	-0.11	14.5	15.5	-0.98
Jodie Meeks	60	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.04	-20	8	-28	12.7	12.9	-0.18	14.3	15.7	-1.40
Pau Gasol	61	61	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.04	-18	6	-24	13.1	12.4	0.77	14.5	15.4	-0.89
Kent Bazemore	66	65	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.08	-20	8	-28	13.4	11.8	1.66	14.6	15.4	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.31,0.23,0.17,0.08,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 123, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
CHA 114, NYK 105	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	94.5%
UTA 92, ATL 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0	94.2%