NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	123		Excitement	5.9 [652]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +38.4%
Washington Wizards	106		Comeback	2.0 [435]		LVP	Monta Ellis (IND): -14.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.38	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.32	0.08	0.02	19	91%	0.45	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
CJ Miles	0.27	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.04	0.04	16	89%	0.31	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Chase Budinger	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	11	58%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Solomon Hill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Young	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Rodney Stuckey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	9	45%	0.02	5	-0.16	4	50%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	3	79%	0.08	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.00	0.05	14	77%	0.15	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	83%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	9	78%	0.16	8	-0.22	5	100%	0.03
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	10	42%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Bradley Beal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	22	44%	-0.06	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.6	26.9	15.7	29.4	2.3	29.6	128.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +48.8%

IND +3.9%

WAS -7.5%

IND +5.2%

WAS -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	14.5	13.3	14.9	119.4	101.9	105.1
season	14.6	13.8		103.2	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.9		104.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.0	14.4	14.5	16.2	14.5
WAS	15.2	12.2	12.1	13.8	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	72	71	0.69	-0.19	0.88	-0.10	27	-10	37	14.3	15.0	-0.73	13.6	12.7	0.85
Paul George	78	79	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.06	24	-7	31	14.3	15.1	-0.79	13.6	12.4	1.25
Monta Ellis	76	77	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.04	20	-3	23	14.2	15.3	-1.10	13.5	12.6	0.92
Ian Mahinmi	48	50	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.17	22	-5	27	13.9	15.1	-1.14	13.9	12.8	1.06
George Hill	70	73	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	12	-7	14.5	14.6	-0.12	13.1	13.8	-0.71
Rodney Stuckey	51	49	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	19	-21	14.8	14.3	0.48	13.4	13.3	0.11
Jordan Hill	54	53	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.23	-7	24	-31	15.0	14.0	0.92	12.8	13.8	-1.01
Chase Budinger	33	33	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	17	-17	14.7	14.5	0.21	12.7	13.6	-0.89
Solomon Hill	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	15	-13	20.0	14.5	5.53	12.0	13.3	-1.32
Joe Young	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	15	-13	20.0	14.5	5.53	12.0	13.3	-1.32
Glenn Robinson	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	15	-13	20.0	14.5	5.53	12.0	13.3	-1.32
Lavoy Allen	30	32	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.10	-10	27	-37	15.4	14.2	1.28	12.5	13.7	-1.17

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	37	38	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.02	7	-24	31	12.4	13.8	-1.48	15.8	13.8	2.05
Garrett Temple	37	37	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-17	17	12.0	14.0	-2.03	15.5	14.0	1.46
Kelly Oubre	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-13	9	11.3	13.4	-2.03	17.2	14.4	2.84
DeJuan Blair	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-13	9	11.3	13.4	-2.03	17.2	14.4	2.84
Nene	46	45	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-19	21	13.7	13.0	0.73	15.7	13.6	2.11
Kris Humphries	21	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-12	7	14.0	13.1	0.93	13.7	14.7	-1.04
Jared Dudley	58	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-19	21	13.3	13.4	-0.11	14.5	14.5	0.02
Gary Neal	60	60	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	-7	-3	13.3	13.3	-0.06	15.5	13.1	2.38
Otto Porter	56	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	-2	-13	13.7	12.8	0.88	13.7	15.4	-1.71
Marcin Gortat	55	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	-2	-13	13.1	13.6	-0.50	13.3	15.8	-2.50
Bradley Beal	77	75	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.00	-19	2	-21	13.6	12.6	1.02	13.9	16.2	-2.27
John Wall	67	65	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	0.02	-24	7	-31	13.8	12.4	1.48	13.8	15.8	-2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 104, ATL 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.46,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
POR 124, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.31,0.23,0.17,0.08,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
LAL 104, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	94.4%